{"meta":{"page":1,"per_page":50,"max_per_page":100,"total":13,"total_is_capped":false,"direct_labels_cover":0,"predictions_cover":13,"direct_label_status":"direct model label, unvalidated","prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated (Codex and Gemma teacher distillation)","score_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline (scores rank; they never assert a category)","snapshot":{"source":"OpenAlex, pinned release, all 482 partitions","release":"2026-06-24","frame_built":"2026-07-12","author_layer_release":"2026-06-26"},"query_hash":"6df2a0b04b32","filters":{"venue":"IMF Economic Review"}},"results":[{"id":"W3121246213","doi":"10.1057/imfer.2010.2","title":"Household Leverage and the Recession of 2007–09","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":371,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true},"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Leverage (statistics); Economics; Consumption (sociology); Unemployment; Quarter (Canadian coin); Financial crisis; Monetary economics; Credit card; Durable good; Demographic economics; Finance; Macroeconomics; Geography; Payment","authors":[{"name":"Atif Mian","is_ca":false},{"name":"Amir Sufi","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.03610389369597473,"gpt":0.2349297867261012,"spread":0.1988258930301265,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009465078,0.0002632162,0.0003407076,0.001381834,0.0003961303,0.001427843,0.0002934819,0.001490067,0.002940989],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003308238,0.0001267257,0.0002659211,0.003722389,0.0004398138,0.001099319,0.0009902187,0.001563366,0.0005358538],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001656529,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001546634,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04179573,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09325249,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997309,0.00003495793,0.00002598854,0.0000216433,0.00006239733,0.0001240545],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99795,0.0002041399,0.001005315,0.00004742018,0.0005185703,0.0002745578],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001094753,0.0002383226,0.586031,0.001069603,0.0004355932,0.0009534395,0.001350431,0.003484183,0.0004763164,0.03005077,0.2462846,0.1285309],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001387598,0.00005055939,0.9339576,0.0003789749,0.00007115663,0.0001453115,0.0008665193,0.0008287494,0.0001382086,0.001486042,0.06204712,0.00001589608],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6976926,0.1318578,0.0006963016,0.1001427,0.00196456,0.00005914614,0.03089317,0.00006019879,0.03663339],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9063941,0.07243387,0.0001634939,0.00202634,0.002630496,0.00003609414,0.01122633,0.00002562286,0.005063571],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04179573,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08310491,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4281492307","doi":"10.1057/s41308-022-00166-8","title":"Supply Shocks in Supply Chains: Evidence from the Early Lockdown in China","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":99,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"European Research Council; European Commission; Université du Québec à Montréal","keywords":"Supply chain; Shock (circulatory); Diversification (marketing strategy); China; Monetary economics; Business; Supply shock; Demand shock; Economics","authors":[{"name":"Raphaël Lafrogne-Joussier","is_ca":false},{"name":"Julien Martin","is_ca":true},{"name":"Isabelle Méjean","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.05385386509147482,"gpt":0.2793311650593032,"spread":0.2254772999678283,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001199118,0.0002325992,0.0003239306,0.00149322,0.0007864416,0.001575129,0.000456468,0.0006667112,0.005218002],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004096741,0.000237818,0.0003065536,0.004248023,0.00100255,0.001392392,0.001140807,0.0007683233,0.0005746917],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002905692,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002825844,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2087088,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1793957,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996983,0.0000384179,0.0000233492,0.00003103572,0.00008627836,0.0001227047],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962665,0.0006428957,0.001451758,0.0002038475,0.001116359,0.0003185396],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007428352,0.0001951996,0.8770826,0.0004837844,0.000347501,0.001047938,0.00490207,0.007081211,0.00142726,0.01366378,0.01015003,0.08287586],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003326943,0.00008750243,0.9829706,0.0001367236,0.00009382136,0.00003214691,0.002763872,0.002101718,0.0004807479,0.002239324,0.009034092,0.00002627114],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9880734,0.00279529,0.0002166351,0.002024085,0.0000209498,0.00002036552,0.0009472354,0.00001410241,0.005887978],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.994692,0.003009593,0.00005475344,0.0001187254,0.0000308207,0.000006230303,0.0005824348,0.000004302389,0.001501093],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2087088,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4149879,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W2594053673","doi":"10.1057/s41308-018-0065-5","title":"Globalization and Social Change: Gender-Specific Effects of Trade Liberalization in Indonesia","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":72,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Universiteit Antwerpen; International Development Research Centre; Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg; Government of the United Kingdom; Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam; Universität Bielefeld; Department for International Development","keywords":"Economics; Tariff; Liberalization; Globalization; Free trade; Fertility; International economics; Work (physics); Demographic economics; Labour economics; Population; Market economy; Demography","authors":[{"name":"Krisztina Kis‐Katos","is_ca":false},{"name":"Janneke Pieters","is_ca":false},{"name":"Robert Sparrow","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.04807843142877055,"gpt":0.3094481925805769,"spread":0.2613697611518063,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001090301,0.0002618451,0.0004304442,0.001044874,0.0006683841,0.001715087,0.0003014751,0.0007007479,0.003081381],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001369001,0.0001246537,0.0003387385,0.002711758,0.00143575,0.001297743,0.001038455,0.0008315488,0.0001761351],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001576837,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002943098,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01388552,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02492884,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994602,0.0002470443,0.0000414628,0.00004935706,0.00008545411,0.0001165593],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992658,0.0003138695,0.0002241614,0.00002035014,0.00009792879,0.00007781309],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006064674,0.0004426119,0.08622489,0.01463,0.0005177125,0.001258912,0.01676815,0.002405697,0.001256862,0.07277984,0.03668989,0.7664191],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002824356,0.0001931412,0.6207333,0.0112075,0.0003887201,0.0007229293,0.02686694,0.0004692339,0.0005290658,0.01168064,0.3271283,0.00005189463],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.08798143,0.8651892,0.000172507,0.01760639,0.0007754672,0.00001250848,0.000178671,0.000004868807,0.02807898],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3611715,0.6340135,0.0001584097,0.00132206,0.0005584639,0.00001970335,0.0000850458,0.000007470763,0.002663765],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01388552,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02760941,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4391359672","doi":"10.1057/s41308-023-00232-9","title":"International Economic Sanctions and Third-Country Effects","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Economic Sanctions and International Relations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":33,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Sanctions; Economics; International economics; Political science","authors":[{"name":"Fabio Ghironi","is_ca":false},{"name":"Daisoon Kim","is_ca":false},{"name":"Galip Kemal Ozhan","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.02133711399334497,"gpt":0.267634762751387,"spread":0.246297648758042,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003194596,0.0005736502,0.001008494,0.004296256,0.0006218523,0.003580298,0.0004605929,0.001388386,0.01109281],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009639746,0.0002243126,0.0009553336,0.007898364,0.001536918,0.00151452,0.00123875,0.002697275,0.0009744509],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002145901,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00185718,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01874124,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02266754,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987109,0.0003941007,0.00008625926,0.0001060764,0.0003723596,0.0003302105],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.988683,0.004396518,0.003935076,0.0005007542,0.001965825,0.0005187882],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001089828,0.0004333957,0.09257949,0.003693612,0.002651244,0.00076706,0.0008653444,0.02137214,0.000461958,0.4746165,0.1925347,0.2089348],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002330179,0.000274685,0.5160156,0.008339593,0.002148753,0.0005308852,0.001714903,0.003594221,0.001134682,0.11209,0.3537956,0.0001280779],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1126902,0.628678,0.002445554,0.03112505,0.00268142,0.00004541756,0.003982527,0.0001058733,0.2182459],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.70941,0.2748252,0.0004749798,0.002602933,0.00168456,0.00003488048,0.001549363,0.00007395382,0.009344196],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01874124,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03726435,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W3009804302","doi":"10.1057/s41308-020-00113-5","title":"The Determinants of China’s International Portfolio Equity Allocations","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Diversification (marketing strategy); Portfolio; Business; Comparative advantage; Equity (law); Foreign portfolio investment; Foreign direct investment; Foreign-exchange reserves; China; Economics; Capital account; Disadvantage; International economics; International trade; Finance; Production (economics); Exchange rate; Macroeconomics","authors":[{"name":"Isha Agarwal","is_ca":true},{"name":"Grace Weishi Gu","is_ca":false},{"name":"Eswar Prasad","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.06886839882795706,"gpt":0.320743229321985,"spread":0.2518748304940279,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001153248,0.0002279974,0.0002603663,0.001467464,0.000328693,0.001670782,0.0002456091,0.0003583543,0.003035254],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002845155,0.0001339517,0.0002024274,0.002276922,0.000520235,0.0008025289,0.0005322772,0.0005247761,0.0002523361],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0020779,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002077517,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04368727,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06722949,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997857,0.00004168601,0.00001530296,0.00002351832,0.00005731979,0.00007649796],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985667,0.0002902483,0.0005136537,0.00006821124,0.0004151,0.0001461318],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003411804,0.00009826858,0.6883578,0.0004956775,0.0005379067,0.0006080922,0.0009238767,0.01763316,0.001729997,0.1279403,0.03839748,0.1229363],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002175702,0.00003683458,0.9621627,0.0001048356,0.0001700134,0.00006752829,0.0004074055,0.007101111,0.0006659225,0.007818173,0.02142242,0.00002128795],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9422637,0.01366867,0.0005783064,0.008103797,0.0001075485,0.00001780493,0.001205544,0.00003419654,0.03402048],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995388,0.002683115,0.00005416078,0.0001070319,0.00004761052,0.000003349664,0.0001969029,0.000005163819,0.001514736],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04368727,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08686596,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W3208933762","doi":"10.1057/s41308-022-00196-2","title":"The Fiscal and Welfare Effects of Policy Responses to the Covid-19 School Closures","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"University of North Carolina at Charlotte; H2020 European Research Council; Banca d'Italia; Emory University; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; McMaster University; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Earnings; Welfare; Demographic economics; Quartile; Economics; School choice; Closure (psychology); Psychology; Medicine","authors":[{"name":"Nicola Fuchs‐Schündeln","is_ca":false},{"name":"Dirk Krueger","is_ca":false},{"name":"André Kurmann","is_ca":false},{"name":"Étienne Lalé","is_ca":true},{"name":"Alexander Ludwig","is_ca":false},{"name":"Irina Popova","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.04401075408367747,"gpt":0.3273170815783549,"spread":0.2833063274946774,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003464474,0.0003248816,0.0004697913,0.001463104,0.0005330436,0.001945471,0.000672662,0.001155453,0.003408434],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008234181,0.0002102276,0.0005133318,0.001993668,0.001153851,0.0008129493,0.001345402,0.001473159,0.0003090518],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005053149,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00284394,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04235486,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04230103,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985402,0.0004774226,0.00005510109,0.00006999297,0.0002507066,0.0006066084],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996886,0.0007633616,0.001226056,0.00009603409,0.0007278607,0.0003007261],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004371574,0.001502937,0.2433262,0.00201226,0.001093451,0.001931929,0.002476277,0.06482646,0.002072692,0.3245545,0.0951547,0.2566769],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003371663,0.0006843006,0.8040898,0.002501435,0.0004468066,0.0003917253,0.008276252,0.01060399,0.001322874,0.04737097,0.1238701,0.0001045208],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8258134,0.03911371,0.001375146,0.03829044,0.0005225964,0.0001008255,0.005503447,0.00005139164,0.08922902],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9797061,0.01492013,0.000239584,0.001147349,0.0001441649,0.00002923187,0.0008594891,0.0000166152,0.002937408],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04235486,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08421665,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W3001043365","doi":"10.1057/s41308-019-00104-1","title":"Implementable Rules for International Monetary Policy Coordination","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium; Monetary policy; Welfare; Emerging markets; Inflation (cosmology); Macroeconomics; Capital flows; International economics; Core (optical fiber); Capital (architecture); Small open economy; Financial market; Capital market; Monetary economics; Finance; Microeconomics","authors":[{"name":"Michael B. Devereux","is_ca":true},{"name":"Charles Engel","is_ca":false},{"name":"Giovanni Lombardo","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.05613798536375005,"gpt":0.3049273783524874,"spread":0.2487893929887373,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.06273253,0.001495677,0.001529216,0.004060805,0.003388506,0.01829578,0.005803674,0.01211497,0.01089622],"category_scores_gemma":[0.09141038,0.001312236,0.001473871,0.003645708,0.007606416,0.01028031,0.00612938,0.01370625,0.004224651],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007831457,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02216893,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0104345,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008426015,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9553944,0.01368666,0.006839609,0.004204847,0.01640444,0.003470017],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9452164,0.01601988,0.006497039,0.01289153,0.01667685,0.002698286],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002540897,0.00008350068,0.000256207,0.0002233501,0.00003713673,0.00004367379,0.0003497801,0.002633091,0.0002253502,0.9039572,0.04542865,0.04673671],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001601061,0.00005068514,0.001251611,0.001303654,0.00006773164,0.00005149883,0.0004710765,0.00283875,0.001283318,0.7396014,0.2528373,0.00008280599],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0124369,0.01185152,0.2906476,0.147814,0.0127727,0.001821318,0.00196056,0.002751295,0.5179441],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4057636,0.0098338,0.470187,0.03066113,0.004874754,0.005365029,0.002941412,0.001124751,0.06924858],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06273253,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3317653,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4402924144","doi":"10.1057/s41308-024-00267-6","title":"Can Sticky Quantities Explain Export Insensitivity to Exchange Rates?","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Irish Research Council; Federation for the Humanities and Social Sciences; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Economics; Exchange rate; Monetary economics; Econometrics; International economics","authors":[{"name":"Doireann Fitzgerald","is_ca":false},{"name":"Yaniv Yedid‐Levi","is_ca":false},{"name":"Stefanie Haller","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.1410355348719338,"gpt":0.2985886114014516,"spread":0.1575530765295178,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00330179,0.0004495918,0.0010398,0.001614223,0.0001672879,0.001798974,0.0006392776,0.001230998,0.006671437],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01832416,0.0003396413,0.0007196283,0.001589046,0.001118513,0.002576673,0.0006803796,0.001595329,0.001045364],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003950337,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003073215,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001692726,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007722096,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996483,0.0001261426,0.00003399273,0.00007278103,0.0000723967,0.00004632385],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9916286,0.005516089,0.001381509,0.0007469637,0.0005697211,0.0001570242],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003019853,0.0003296981,0.1879384,0.003923306,0.003535671,0.001329,0.0006880119,0.05534539,0.003402742,0.2881089,0.06097895,0.3914001],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004089206,0.0003944392,0.3510028,0.0006886983,0.0008079417,0.0004927104,0.0004654871,0.03247894,0.001391047,0.5590885,0.05267683,0.0001035888],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7132358,0.1302301,0.02488801,0.05847011,0.003958122,0.00008961451,0.004935843,0.0005834201,0.06360897],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9564027,0.03406816,0.001129328,0.00174053,0.001880406,0.00002686807,0.001057668,0.0001068885,0.003587543],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006671437,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02231812,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4396978174","doi":"10.1057/s41308-024-00237-y","title":"Learning from Biodiversity: Is Diversity in Financial Ecosystems Important for Economic Growth and Stability?","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria; McGill University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Biodiversity; Diversity (politics); Psychological resilience; Economics; Sustainable growth rate; Volatility (finance); Resilience (materials science); Financial stability; Financial market; Index (typography); Finance; Business; Natural resource economics; Financial system; Ecology; Biology","authors":[{"name":"Vihang R. Errunza","is_ca":true},{"name":"Basma Majerbi","is_ca":true},{"name":"Maxwell Tuuli","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.04880748288301213,"gpt":0.2262242747868773,"spread":0.1774167919038652,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002343839,0.000371868,0.0006292156,0.0008914979,0.0004763206,0.002498314,0.0006944481,0.00186277,0.0026889],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01577133,0.0001731382,0.0002982893,0.001276469,0.00510579,0.008107442,0.001430476,0.002949153,0.0003012613],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000966229,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001282922,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002263002,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003030135,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994743,0.0002298741,0.00002268341,0.00006762174,0.0001391851,0.00006636279],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99137,0.005883991,0.0009875543,0.0003204597,0.0008578932,0.0005801558],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003327095,0.0001030101,0.02004042,0.002319673,0.0004674707,0.0002154554,0.000966061,0.009366466,0.000515205,0.3092946,0.07826035,0.5781185],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003716459,0.00006255663,0.02510772,0.001083527,0.0001088474,0.00009847154,0.001097831,0.004370769,0.0002537606,0.9206542,0.04707988,0.00004534962],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1003211,0.3984692,0.01433836,0.4556088,0.003616739,0.00001857646,0.0004985565,0.00007108377,0.02705762],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7958387,0.1841976,0.001652839,0.01047886,0.006124261,0.00002366028,0.0001768491,0.0000253464,0.00148185],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.0026889,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0123955,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W3138378184","doi":"10.1057/s41308-023-00206-x","title":"Tariffs and the Exchange Rate: Evidence from Twitter","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Economic Policies and Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"McGill University; Bank of Canada","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Société et Culture; Bank of Canada","keywords":"Depreciation (economics); Liberian dollar; Exchange rate; Economics; Monetary economics; Currency; Tariff; International economics; Foreign exchange market; Finance; Market economy","authors":[{"name":"Dmitry Matveev","is_ca":true},{"name":"Francisco J. Ruge‐Murcia","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.1232869393851341,"gpt":0.2907554480895322,"spread":0.1674685087043981,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003102365,0.0002715838,0.0004282448,0.003162532,0.0004574291,0.003109755,0.0004075136,0.001154512,0.01120981],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02977769,0.0001944698,0.0003248893,0.007276447,0.0005943012,0.003049345,0.0009436764,0.001292396,0.00365316],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004440562,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006648321,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007058182,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008676605,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982257,0.0006889172,0.0002132311,0.0001053771,0.0006224474,0.0001442996],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9594584,0.02138247,0.01300173,0.0009247779,0.00439004,0.0008426766],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004664382,0.0004135361,0.4179169,0.006654248,0.001006527,0.0006717424,0.004901337,0.001178837,0.000768261,0.01857023,0.2659152,0.2773388],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003489333,0.0003581789,0.6786494,0.004187154,0.0008606841,0.0006837068,0.008236413,0.001514365,0.0007753999,0.003892645,0.3003938,0.00009945129],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6319261,0.117393,0.0007873083,0.05456358,0.002464844,0.000128723,0.05069596,0.0001014797,0.1419391],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8846551,0.08134872,0.0002857278,0.003827045,0.002458578,0.00007983408,0.0164452,0.00008979676,0.01081005],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01120981,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03750056,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4397017884","doi":"10.1057/s41308-024-00241-2","title":"The Role of International Financial Integration in Monetary Policy Transmission","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"Division of Social and Economic Sciences; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Monetary policy; Economics; Financial integration; Capital market; Financial market; International finance; Financial system; Monetary economics; International economics; Macroeconomics; Finance","authors":[{"name":"Jing Cynthia Wu","is_ca":false},{"name":"Yinxi Xie","is_ca":true},{"name":"Zhang Ji","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.01564835016999089,"gpt":0.2633709907422605,"spread":0.2477226405722696,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006950262,0.0006009223,0.0008604013,0.002362742,0.000666452,0.006686093,0.0005839104,0.001875271,0.005652603],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01487338,0.0003525878,0.0004078357,0.005111384,0.002423782,0.006437596,0.001885117,0.003335249,0.0006509087],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001941414,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002448065,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00353487,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002898205,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983532,0.0008353417,0.000119336,0.000116809,0.0003406196,0.0002346332],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.992344,0.004488544,0.001244035,0.00033319,0.001289819,0.0003005465],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005743357,0.0001535129,0.009828456,0.001919705,0.0005850662,0.0003000206,0.001085863,0.009044447,0.0005398288,0.4643709,0.03722796,0.4743699],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002217607,0.0002794136,0.08661303,0.007506511,0.0007812198,0.0004174305,0.00243759,0.008008144,0.001022791,0.5620652,0.3305155,0.0001314277],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.05736521,0.71757,0.00961041,0.08301838,0.006067404,0.0000405255,0.0004956741,0.00007365514,0.1257587],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6116633,0.3706608,0.001797762,0.003757177,0.006870028,0.00004226786,0.0002517961,0.00006242716,0.004894501],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.006950262,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03675693,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4392867328","doi":"10.1057/s41308-025-00283-0","title":"Decomposing Large Banks’ Systemic Trading Losses","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Systemic risk; Business; Economics; Financial crisis","authors":[{"name":"Radoslav Raykov","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.02849082009904962,"gpt":0.2774473872480435,"spread":0.2489565671489939,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002416291,0.0006038164,0.0005818967,0.002170605,0.0002297839,0.002419295,0.00035465,0.0005735152,0.002126617],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008514587,0.000200666,0.0002939302,0.002222387,0.0009350636,0.002522444,0.0007482707,0.001250642,0.000330091],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007319305,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007614662,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001234636,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001756587,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994893,0.0001543384,0.00003504179,0.00006408246,0.0002018991,0.00005523879],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962611,0.001999178,0.0007343196,0.0002406244,0.0006512801,0.000113516],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004468776,0.000128607,0.05430999,0.0007180285,0.0006519224,0.0003777304,0.0006471446,0.09368753,0.00244657,0.3299844,0.03153414,0.485067],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000071257,0.0001951053,0.1919771,0.0007837471,0.0003716204,0.0005693793,0.0007956953,0.1796295,0.001778882,0.5853264,0.03843393,0.00006729038],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7013044,0.09112906,0.119709,0.01512215,0.0008639136,0.00005751522,0.001329272,0.0003558865,0.0701289],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9750484,0.01748371,0.002961633,0.0001782676,0.0006523414,0.00001813392,0.0004932174,0.00005451267,0.003109899],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002419295,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01277876,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4392286657","doi":"10.1057/s41308-023-00234-7","title":"The Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports: A Shock-Dependent Approach","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Economic Review","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Exchange rate; Economics; Elasticity (physics); Shock (circulatory); Monetary economics; Econometrics; Thermodynamics; Physics; Internal medicine; Medicine","authors":[{"name":"Patrick Alexander","is_ca":true},{"name":"Abeer Reza","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.03647631347598033,"gpt":0.2526418525295294,"spread":0.216165539053549,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001543222,0.0006759524,0.000855006,0.003122201,0.0001694537,0.001279913,0.0008983385,0.001266925,0.002644597],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003992916,0.0002694745,0.0008415818,0.003051494,0.0009124981,0.002469031,0.0009096286,0.002723044,0.0004099213],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006328989,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002821955,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008252009,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0005537466,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997283,0.0001064994,0.00002101307,0.00005492003,0.00007107926,0.00001828327],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983519,0.001153742,0.0001672976,0.0001056942,0.00018413,0.00003722784],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000157619,0.0001456409,0.01455736,0.001391162,0.0008269262,0.0004664834,0.0001619457,0.06614824,0.001528336,0.7376179,0.0120005,0.1649979],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005491269,0.000185611,0.05734189,0.001146922,0.0004615633,0.0009971471,0.0003875978,0.09272872,0.00163846,0.7433884,0.1015359,0.0001330005],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1978561,0.4970754,0.1846439,0.03089222,0.002862281,0.0001116287,0.002347509,0.0001374219,0.08407347],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6360865,0.3366779,0.007781944,0.001549233,0.004639518,0.00006458118,0.0009807347,0.00006264087,0.01215696],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.003122201,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.008847058,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null}]}