{"meta":{"page":1,"per_page":50,"max_per_page":100,"total":4,"total_is_capped":false,"direct_labels_cover":0,"predictions_cover":4,"direct_label_status":"direct model label, unvalidated","prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated (Codex and Gemma teacher distillation)","score_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline (scores rank; they never assert a category)","snapshot":{"source":"OpenAlex, pinned release, all 482 partitions","release":"2026-06-24","frame_built":"2026-07-12","author_layer_release":"2026-06-26"},"query_hash":"c69fb11e80d3","filters":{"venue":"Theory of Probability and Its Applications"}},"results":[{"id":"W2963416679","doi":"10.1137/s0040585x97t988009","title":"Explicit Description of HARA Forward Utilities and Their Optimal Portfolios","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theory of Probability and Its Applications","topic":"Stochastic processes and financial applications","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Semimartingale; Mathematics; Martingale (probability theory); Local martingale; Type (biology); Bounded function; Mathematical optimization; Mathematical economics; Applied mathematics; Econometrics; Mathematical analysis","authors":[{"name":"Tahir Choulli","is_ca":true},{"name":"Jun Ma","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.05997508110958523,"gpt":0.2363742731719436,"spread":0.1763991920623584,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005294497,0.0001031168,0.0002985749,0.0000575197,0.0003101895,0.00003277361,0.0002277815,0.0000699001,0.00002843942],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001709928,0.000103069,0.00005107827,0.00005946631,0.0003449285,0.0002284068,0.0001046595,0.00006330888,0.000006195382],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001093652,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001780086,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005046867,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000006137648,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991379,0.00000452932,0.0004355395,0.0002820344,0.00002044609,0.0001195468],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988382,0.0000806965,0.0004631108,0.000480096,0.00008697788,0.00005086115],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002074302,0.00008527526,0.0008313468,0.0001351169,0.00001472717,8.650349e-9,0.0005629277,0.000001655647,0.0003099296,0.9926918,0.000003442056,0.005342992],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001617863,0.0000447638,0.02631388,0.00001386946,0.00000890732,0.000001421682,0.0002539413,0.0003920943,0.000783061,0.9708148,0.001114016,0.00009750789],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3578718,0.002309831,0.6344555,0.0002859005,0.0000184791,0.0006757198,0.0004247345,0.00001662453,0.003941444],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967375,0.0002130555,0.002538518,0.00001618226,0.00002710464,0.0003380117,0.000007836306,0.000007681483,0.0001141511],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6388657,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4203031,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W3123809066","doi":"10.1137/s0040585x97t990897","title":"Log-Optimal Portfolio without NFLVR: Existence, Complete Characterization, and Duality","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theory of Probability and Its Applications","topic":"Stochastic processes and financial applications","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Semimartingale; Characterization (materials science); Portfolio; Duality (order theory); Mathematics; Logarithm; Portfolio optimization; Merton's portfolio problem; Mathematical economics; Modern portfolio theory; Replicating portfolio; Mathematical optimization; Applied mathematics; Economics; Discrete mathematics; Finance","authors":[{"name":"Tahir Choulli","is_ca":true},{"name":"Sina Yansori","is_ca":true}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.04608859893422999,"gpt":0.2341859562952402,"spread":0.1880973573610102,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008001481,0.0001102554,0.0002880192,0.00007561737,0.0004695924,0.00001984436,0.0001835588,0.00003909896,0.0001815015],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006600798,0.000131714,0.00003808962,0.0002971368,0.0002360716,0.0001096676,0.0001812106,0.0001210296,0.00001337721],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002813771,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002590578,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002044648,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000001954846,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988584,0.00001795949,0.0005164547,0.0004141054,0.00004346924,0.0001495989],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991269,0.00008083438,0.0003512883,0.0003053274,0.00006805997,0.000067615],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002362941,0.000147377,0.001779316,0.00006967203,0.00001185516,3.731611e-8,0.0003284111,0.000007067727,0.0003017177,0.9958494,0.000002970907,0.001478513],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002030287,0.0000568803,0.02832347,0.00000292355,0.00001191881,0.000007240242,0.0001048486,0.0005465741,0.00002213647,0.9454282,0.02513815,0.0001546154],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2128882,0.001031135,0.7793271,0.0006267341,0.00003220204,0.001162634,0.00180078,0.00004997367,0.003081266],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995432,0.00006404349,0.002859645,0.0001342324,0.00003327476,0.001066027,0.0001366694,0.00001127749,0.0002628015],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7825438,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5371142,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W1981871516","doi":"10.1137/tprbau000047000002000236000001","title":"On Consistency of Bayes Procedures","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theory of Probability and Its Applications","topic":"Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Mathematics; Prior probability; Bayes' theorem; Consistency (knowledge bases); Invariant (physics); Sigma; Statistical model; Applied mathematics; Class (philosophy); Strong consistency; Statistics; Pure mathematics; Discrete mathematics; Bayesian probability; Computer science; Artificial intelligence; Mathematical physics; Physics","authors":[{"name":"Albert Y. Lo","is_ca":true},{"name":"В. В. Сазонов","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.02349040685767808,"gpt":0.2652478351814662,"spread":0.2417574283237881,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008687255,0.00006950698,0.0001431573,0.00003396706,0.00006709747,0.000007313541,0.0002152724,0.00003997359,0.00001467765],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002868476,0.00005625935,0.00003535959,0.0001609289,0.0001495963,0.00007456128,0.00003156453,0.00005283621,0.00000174117],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000004679537,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007798536,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":6.80059e-7,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":9.273762e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992331,0.0001728121,0.0002048521,0.0002252639,0.00007972066,0.00008428977],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989944,0.0003686787,0.00009340684,0.0003964396,0.0001048895,0.00004223528],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000004795762,0.0001334005,0.00001139837,0.0001173552,0.000005571205,1.801607e-8,0.0002418833,0.000002534618,0.00155287,0.9805555,0.00001120959,0.01736342],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008220106,0.00005917421,0.0001902681,0.0000162317,0.00000644925,0.000002155191,0.00001022557,0.0001032642,0.01744905,0.9817942,0.0002318627,0.00005495525],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0115907,0.0005095091,0.973001,0.0001679097,0.00001117523,0.0004550724,0.000005871441,0.00002364173,0.01423512],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7699227,0.00002615365,0.2298493,0.00005417708,0.000003142427,0.00006939968,3.220813e-7,0.000002323095,0.00007252461],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.758332,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.229419,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null},{"id":"W4256484418","doi":"10.1137/s0040585x97979615","title":"On Consistency of Bayes Procedures","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theory of Probability and Its Applications","topic":"Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false},"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Mathematics; Prior probability; Bayes' theorem; Consistency (knowledge bases); Invariant (physics); Sigma; Statistical model; Applied mathematics; Class (philosophy); Bayes error rate; Strong consistency; Statistics; Pure mathematics; Combinatorics; Discrete mathematics; Bayes classifier; Bayesian probability; Computer science; Artificial intelligence; Physics; Mathematical physics","authors":[{"name":"A. Y. LoAY Lo","is_ca":true},{"name":"V. V. Sazonov","is_ca":false}],"retraction":null,"screen_n_in":null,"score":{"opus":0.02349040685767808,"gpt":0.2652478351814662,"spread":0.2417574283237881,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline"},"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008687255,0.00006950698,0.0001431573,0.00003396706,0.00006709747,0.000007313541,0.0002152724,0.00003997359,0.00001467765],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002868476,0.00005625935,0.00003535959,0.0001609289,0.0001495963,0.00007456128,0.00003156453,0.00005283621,0.00000174117],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000004679537,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007798536,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":6.80059e-7,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":9.273762e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992331,0.0001728121,0.0002048521,0.0002252639,0.00007972066,0.00008428977],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989944,0.0003686787,0.00009340684,0.0003964396,0.0001048895,0.00004223528],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000004795762,0.0001334005,0.00001139837,0.0001173552,0.000005571205,1.801607e-8,0.0002418833,0.000002534618,0.00155287,0.9805555,0.00001120959,0.01736342],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008220106,0.00005917421,0.0001902681,0.0000162317,0.00000644925,0.000002155191,0.00001022557,0.0001032642,0.01744905,0.9817942,0.0002318627,0.00005495525],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0115907,0.0005095091,0.973001,0.0001679097,0.00001117523,0.0004550724,0.000005871441,0.00002364173,0.01423512],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7699227,0.00002615365,0.2298493,0.00005417708,0.000003142427,0.00006939968,3.220813e-7,0.000002323095,0.00007252461],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.758332,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.229419,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"labels":[],"label_agreement":null}]}