{"id":"W10532092","doi":"","title":"A Variation on the Paradox of Two Envelopes","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Florida AI Research Society","topic":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Saskatchewan","funders":"","keywords":"Probabilistic logic; Variation (astronomy); Simple (philosophy); Set (abstract data type); Computer science; Resolution (logic); Distribution (mathematics); Mathematical economics; Artificial intelligence; Mathematics; Epistemology; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003315693,0.00009051158,0.0001004406,0.00002527605,0.0005207499,0.0001759892,0.001589594,0.00004642865,0.00007509721],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001657789,0.00004723855,0.0001084278,0.0007361055,0.0002321196,0.0001685306,0.0003005134,0.000595391,0.0001819865],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004705504,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006712625,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001141839,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000002346206,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978842,0.0004325753,0.0001682274,0.0002468271,0.0009008586,0.0003673237],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978473,0.0009709439,0.00004559875,0.0008445416,0.0002366422,0.00005497329],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000006302486,0.00009211271,0.00003175682,0.00001486169,0.0000539778,0.000001510338,0.0194223,0.0009012457,0.002365869,0.8924891,0.06714241,0.01747856],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002318381,0.0001391835,0.0007577508,0.00004061799,0.000003955294,0.000003142625,0.00017676,0.9070551,0.003661694,0.08438442,0.00342234,0.0001231319],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.05558598,0.0003439843,0.8287148,0.1065048,0.0003801973,0.0005501143,0.000005786282,0.000146249,0.007768052],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9950739,0.0002296468,0.002699584,0.001051947,0.0001762907,0.00003980903,3.549382e-7,0.000006334986,0.0007221876],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9394879,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.400524,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.178343887319448,"score_gpt":0.3679871059801317,"score_spread":0.1896432186606837,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}