{"id":"W1481489839","doi":"","title":"Forecasting with the New-Keynesian Model: An Experiment with Canadian Data","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Benchmark (surveying); New Keynesian economics; Econometrics; Sample (material); Economics; Econometric model; Keynesian economics; Monetary policy; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008450424,0.0006401784,0.001098458,0.0007829783,0.00155196,0.001558982,0.001569175,0.001113607,0.002179219],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03278223,0.000335181,0.0006065556,0.002084753,0.001223814,0.001969192,0.000786897,0.001814199,0.0001991493],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007892186,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006004128,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.8705362,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.808665,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982489,0.0007798595,0.00009240888,0.0002680077,0.0004038351,0.0002068834],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9825659,0.01252938,0.0005530816,0.00163723,0.002303328,0.0004110573],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002352062,0.00038369,0.03783766,0.000243131,0.0003442801,0.0003963464,0.001454879,0.8632878,0.001723021,0.03182349,0.007228178,0.05292554],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000374137,0.0002157543,0.01438048,0.00002712339,0.00009424869,0.00004909285,0.0004503976,0.9698082,0.001717657,0.008235918,0.00454773,0.00009924977],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.981109,0.0005516025,0.01070008,0.001531949,0.00007493137,0.0000708434,0.001417782,0.0002488127,0.004295076],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908231,0.0002924269,0.006192133,0.0001091021,0.00002124897,0.00002056016,0.00112623,0.00003569783,0.001379416],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1294638,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2604524,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2059138744586383,"score_gpt":0.3109528638966461,"score_spread":0.1050389894380078,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}