{"id":"W1485770897","doi":"","title":"Short-term estimates of euro area real GDP by means of monthly data","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":47,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Univariate; Autoregressive integrated moving average; Quarter (Canadian coin); Real gross domestic product; Econometrics; Context (archaeology); Term (time); Nowcasting; Economic indicator; Seasonal adjustment; Economics; Time series; Statistics; Geography; Mathematics; Macroeconomics; Multivariate statistics; Meteorology; Variable (mathematics)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001738897,0.0004578376,0.000404245,0.002381137,0.0001084775,0.0008785655,0.0003532292,0.0004133472,0.006232313],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01090581,0.0001963499,0.00037042,0.003149712,0.0001109085,0.001008078,0.000347418,0.0007145157,0.003138313],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002874621,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002543006,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005289522,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003818622,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991749,0.0001995001,0.0001101181,0.0001507519,0.0003221748,0.00004246666],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9931298,0.00231976,0.002184352,0.0006097695,0.001614679,0.0001416623],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004415713,0.0002575206,0.4602411,0.0007090466,0.0007251198,0.0003425198,0.0006264196,0.1269201,0.003839342,0.01513867,0.07523495,0.3155235],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007529393,0.0003137518,0.7137374,0.0002402002,0.0001977541,0.0004951213,0.0004715806,0.1941256,0.008855112,0.01116994,0.0701948,0.0001233857],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7215105,0.003489643,0.1110035,0.0009840085,0.0004979133,0.0001881164,0.1407921,0.002177112,0.01935716],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8191327,0.002239795,0.04109259,0.00009069747,0.0003311147,0.0002415789,0.130363,0.0002692708,0.006239223],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006232313,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02084917,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07633756367763875,"score_gpt":0.2473518041448172,"score_spread":0.1710142404671785,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}