{"id":"W1488424467","doi":"10.17016/bulletin.2002.88-10","title":"An Investigation of Co-movements among the Growth Rates of the G-7 Countries","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Federal Reserve Bulletin","topic":"Economic Growth and Productivity","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":70,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Speculation; Emerging markets; International economics; Business cycle; Current account; Economy; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Exchange rate; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008408214,0.0001069148,0.0002422268,0.00004898231,0.0001961563,0.00005908,0.00042672,0.00006218954,0.001256201],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002455321,0.00007989449,0.00008772204,0.0001080744,0.0003050129,0.000135349,0.00005765103,0.0001263,0.0001110948],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000293831,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000009430213,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001874054,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001554577,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989503,0.00007722926,0.0005061671,0.0002349242,0.00005135956,0.0001800079],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988431,0.00009921424,0.0005216605,0.0004315331,0.00006015272,0.00004436036],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001449448,0.00003099809,0.9619914,0.00004010056,0.00002433289,1.265638e-7,0.0004858995,0.00001770327,0.00005505493,0.02279828,0.01452423,0.00001732566],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004506603,0.0000909753,0.9422519,0.00002452294,0.000003441885,5.729997e-7,0.0001140832,0.0006511768,0.01221153,0.02731458,0.01673015,0.000156368],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9843111,0.00055767,0.00001278709,0.006374583,0.0001550212,0.0002371326,0.0001198297,0.000008098549,0.008223791],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997774,0.00009725564,0.00004134221,0.0003963348,0.00007328545,0.00001603419,0.000008101792,0.00001193769,0.001581705],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01973952,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996568,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03912878743167984,"score_gpt":0.2271358596959618,"score_spread":0.188007072264282,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}