{"id":"W1488799145","doi":"","title":"Recovery Subject to Lasting Uncertainty. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Odds; Quarter (Canadian coin); Trough (economics); Keynesian economics; Geography; Statistics; Mathematics; Logistic regression","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004854678,0.0001558931,0.000238386,0.0001348313,0.0003125244,0.0003102977,0.0002247347,0.0001102385,0.0008769635],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000298793,0.0001684667,0.00008012659,0.00002843228,0.0000958193,0.000545416,0.00001598401,0.00006176033,0.004708144],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003436304,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003445883,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02764092,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01363136,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987431,0.00006322323,0.0003309564,0.0003422556,0.00004504226,0.0004754051],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999023,0.0004114985,0.0001282164,0.0001458862,0.00002381882,0.0002675641],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005219619,0.0000113513,0.005290075,0.00001191066,0.00008207117,4.897367e-7,0.009387073,0.0001940718,0.00003716832,0.01643966,0.8462797,0.1222142],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001047268,0.0004687424,0.01242618,0.00002766572,0.00001894882,0.000002451799,0.004873738,0.0004489005,0.00001518138,0.0232557,0.9568039,0.0006113417],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9613152,0.00003106901,0.0000627034,0.01786465,0.001126669,0.001075504,0.00004097871,0.00006108756,0.01842218],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9573751,0.00009053024,0.0007222851,0.0007375665,0.00189122,0.0002762999,0.00002635365,0.00003224617,0.03884836],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1216029,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9960668,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02142159289216714,"score_gpt":0.2832737173379541,"score_spread":0.261852124445787,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}