{"id":"W1492587132","doi":"","title":"The Effects of Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks on Output and Inflation: Evidence from the G7 Countries","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Counterfactual thinking; Supply shock; Inflation (cosmology); Shock (circulatory); Monetary economics; Oil supply; Monetary policy; Production (economics); Demand shock; Inflation targeting; Oil price; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002309231,0.0001190828,0.0002037527,0.00003809771,0.0004146751,0.0001205415,0.0002983,0.00006190204,0.00002734965],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004529821,0.00008002652,0.00007910249,0.00007809274,0.00009712062,0.0001703991,0.00004054026,0.0007102184,0.0000123279],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000318225,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002487915,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002987153,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002375038,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985856,0.00005409812,0.0004299603,0.0001782226,0.00007545048,0.0006765976],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980871,0.001214145,0.00034978,0.0002663438,0.00004357005,0.00003903858],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002442928,0.00004737201,0.5906757,0.00002564824,0.0002589453,0.000001118573,0.0009931125,0.00006138127,0.00001702436,0.3074256,0.0002307434,0.1000192],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001341387,0.0007759662,0.3470214,0.0001905545,0.00005098333,0.00005167103,0.0003004815,0.02040222,0.00006897716,0.5791841,0.05021208,0.0004001777],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9408682,0.05309277,0.0008192727,0.004033332,0.0002097059,0.00008779015,0.00001939416,0.000006306825,0.0008632235],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9452802,0.05326294,0.00002180277,0.0001575224,0.0002592427,0.000004942841,0.00000127113,0.00001021186,0.001001883],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2717586,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3263387,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01004840863357559,"score_gpt":0.2037042241171537,"score_spread":0.1936558154835782,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}