{"id":"W1493333246","doi":"10.1111/meta.12044","title":"Getting Luck Properly Under Control","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Metaphilosophy","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":32,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Luck; Attribution; Argument (complex analysis); Action (physics); Analogy; Value (mathematics); Control (management); Positive economics; Psychology; Social psychology; Economics; Epistemology; Computer science; Management; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003484625,0.0002434901,0.0003974211,0.0001053446,0.0004201968,0.0002529515,0.0002613333,0.00009271158,0.001876357],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005473812,0.0001840004,0.000222766,0.00004282931,0.0005707786,0.000444062,0.0000364121,0.0003670008,0.002393232],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002012239,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000341664,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003685173,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00007459278,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984952,0.0001756756,0.000362376,0.0003300903,0.0002527032,0.0003839677],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988959,0.0001562815,0.0001489033,0.0003824315,0.0003046049,0.0001119018],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000007199856,0.00009297158,0.00009966928,0.00004988025,0.0001924645,0.000003197569,0.005626772,0.00000806035,0.0007733723,0.9890924,0.002603394,0.00145064],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001020362,0.0002009806,0.0005559422,0.00003210467,0.0001981386,0.000004768659,0.00187625,0.0001784011,0.0002370383,0.7814479,0.2136977,0.0005503748],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1566043,0.001896926,0.0006232499,0.03608565,0.003034365,0.001403881,0.00004444406,0.0004945259,0.7998127],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9800924,0.000009023654,0.0002278998,0.007429152,0.002336826,0.0001085052,0.00001044205,0.00004440716,0.009741329],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8234881,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9990361,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0565495966401459,"score_gpt":0.240894962134914,"score_spread":0.184345365494768,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}