{"id":"W1496596803","doi":"","title":"Heading into Recession. Business Cycle Report of December 2008","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"German Economic Analysis & Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Recession; Business cycle; Heading (navigation); Economics; Global recession; Financial crisis; Feeling; Economy; Keynesian economics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009405427,0.001374395,0.0007570238,0.002296707,0.0005118399,0.002310494,0.0008259916,0.0017972,0.02379273],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003915162,0.0005117818,0.0003499121,0.00453498,0.0001393583,0.001641079,0.0007734671,0.001748745,0.04285457],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001784177,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005673565,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05806262,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04771638,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994069,0.00003615185,0.00007638902,0.0000976954,0.0002773949,0.000105532],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998133,0.0001018359,0.0002700959,0.00006033129,0.001306311,0.0001284077],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006369414,0.00001774181,0.001437376,0.000163253,0.000007272757,0.00001634892,0.00001362221,0.00009185919,0.00003764214,0.0004163578,0.9828258,0.01490909],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007733955,0.00004291907,0.04588795,0.0004614691,0.00003365026,0.00005265058,0.0000781319,0.0003161482,0.0001950069,0.0004115615,0.9524212,0.00002197509],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"dataset","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.006650398,0.01534177,0.0008167545,0.01295496,0.004952024,0.0004486906,0.8506737,0.001816582,0.1063451],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.02718755,0.02062978,0.002077144,0.005629554,0.001011344,0.001015854,0.7894472,0.0007031371,0.1522984],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.05806262,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1154493,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02812555396134107,"score_gpt":0.2381296148486542,"score_spread":0.2100040608873132,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}