{"id":"W1502210375","doi":"10.3386/w18387","title":"Duration Dependence and Labor Market Conditions: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":46,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University; University of Toronto","funders":"Booth School of Business, University of Chicago; Connaught Fund; University of Chicago","keywords":"Duration (music); Unemployment; Spell; Economics; Depreciation (economics); Callback; Labour economics; Human capital; Ranking (information retrieval); Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Capital formation","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01060018,0.0003063006,0.0004895656,0.0004783826,0.0006548162,0.0009736908,0.0007761258,0.001105776,0.005176598],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02729056,0.0004453401,0.0003561581,0.0004525418,0.001486889,0.001057801,0.0007668849,0.0009959622,0.00054927],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006876041,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005752287,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002932979,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002751114,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9957848,0.002960752,0.0001521201,0.0005416921,0.0003892619,0.0001713913],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8972447,0.08348671,0.01135192,0.00560363,0.000942934,0.001369992],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"randomized_trial","study_design_scores_codex":[0.03009507,0.05039076,0.751728,0.000755474,0.0008227611,0.000586355,0.006279799,0.009412734,0.02974013,0.01418392,0.00425758,0.1017474],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004251016,0.03531629,0.8849981,0.0001502208,0.000506264,0.00047818,0.00244468,0.03436057,0.01140086,0.01952776,0.006365475,0.0002005612],"study_design_candidate":"randomized_trial","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9953688,0.00007743057,0.001789448,0.0001582636,0.00001156007,0.0002034514,0.0002196258,0.00001283445,0.002158562],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963612,0.0001089048,0.001642796,0.0002296637,0.00002222063,0.0003125906,0.0002015472,0.000006392891,0.001114757],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01060018,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05605978,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.219163237514876,"score_gpt":0.4476224943884854,"score_spread":0.2284592568736095,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}