{"id":"W151471770","doi":"","title":"Oil's History of Booms and Busts: Toward the Ultimate Downturn","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Knowledge Bank (The Ohio State University)","topic":"Global Energy and Sustainability Research","field":"Energy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Boom; Economics; Recession; Keynesian economics; Business; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000561213,0.000191454,0.0002129119,0.0001206662,0.0003215545,0.00002376609,0.000846957,0.00007670838,0.0001817308],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006929027,0.0001057658,0.0001206837,0.0004668302,0.001195764,0.0001317119,0.0003774196,0.0003078856,0.00006126098],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006311043,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002113594,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004294701,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002842519,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984004,0.0005112243,0.0001857871,0.0002543648,0.0002149892,0.0004331735],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986035,0.0003833649,0.00009206779,0.0005991472,0.0002568027,0.00006512725],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001045384,0.0004677896,0.0005575674,0.0003554608,0.0003382031,0.0001163148,0.02634141,0.01169744,0.001257548,0.8128751,0.01298619,0.1319616],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006651977,0.00005497629,0.001717682,0.00002101125,0.00006674622,0.000008133735,0.002790732,0.001266236,0.0002341862,0.008466883,0.9845324,0.0001757887],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2890007,0.002964352,0.00007792374,0.002516731,0.0002531479,0.0001463325,0.00001260263,0.00008685627,0.7049413],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7837076,0.0003722137,0.00001428076,0.00003801198,0.00005780262,0.000001728597,0.000004546602,0.00001491042,0.2157889],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9715462,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6492333,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01296239693861174,"score_gpt":0.2118440313964069,"score_spread":0.1988816344577952,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}