{"id":"W1514992329","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1106467","title":"Monetary Policy Shifts and the Term Structure","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":28,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Term (time); Monetary policy; Economics; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008868133,0.0001713228,0.0003497578,0.0001977416,0.0004573854,0.00005848278,0.0002833596,0.00008662963,0.0001289737],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006936313,0.0001335136,0.0001329645,0.0001097011,0.0002135596,0.0002918984,0.00004273963,0.001159259,0.0001009697],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003250578,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002340617,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001284676,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002533012,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997753,0.00003121641,0.000451841,0.0002184818,0.00002954631,0.001515877],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993356,0.00004499022,0.0002806183,0.0002293929,0.00000526278,0.0001040659],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001427126,0.00001986062,0.04757543,0.000004821016,0.0003221749,0.000005529524,0.001435707,0.0003032384,0.00000690189,0.9468166,0.0004871871,0.00287981],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002185049,0.00009634054,0.08201906,0.000003249888,0.000009907797,0.001913156,0.0001168096,0.0009905088,0.000004445871,0.9085963,0.003837335,0.0002278564],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9763443,0.01440408,0.0003658177,0.005423749,0.0001531478,0.0001132585,0.00003665189,0.00001419638,0.003144734],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9794737,0.01715556,0.00003951572,0.0009294957,0.0008012435,0.000002007238,0.000004232011,0.00002062652,0.001573595],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03822035,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5444527,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01927019980259587,"score_gpt":0.202693879307041,"score_spread":0.1834236795044451,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}