{"id":"W1519358887","doi":"10.20506/rst.25.1.1665","title":"Use and abuse of mathematical models : an illustration from the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in the United Kingdom","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Revue Scientifique et Technique de l OIE","topic":"Animal Disease Management and Epidemiology","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":111,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Science Centre for Human and Animal Health","funders":"","keywords":"Foot-and-mouth disease; Culling; Livestock; Disease; Public health; Vaccination; Outbreak; Environmental health; Disease control; Medicine; Geography; Socioeconomics; Development economics; Veterinary medicine; Economics; Virology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003330583,0.0002593719,0.0006033185,0.00006014415,0.000131628,0.0001483931,0.0005016501,0.0002298071,0.0000120249],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004541209,0.00008787332,0.000152983,0.0005677322,0.000293129,0.0002209506,0.0001169975,0.0003301384,0.000001117624],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000310207,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000248786,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001542765,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0009515407,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969141,0.001582578,0.0005623457,0.0005004905,0.0001420311,0.0002984454],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974269,0.001867404,0.0003203683,0.0002226192,0.0000487119,0.0001140342],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002163621,0.002108135,0.007703496,0.04188737,0.0002511086,0.0001980206,0.002559627,0.0003091189,0.001181268,0.5246418,0.02179803,0.3971457],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003615758,0.0002616651,0.05790041,0.05480514,0.002238938,0.00007248914,0.0003979811,0.02424413,0.000008133503,0.4301049,0.4275008,0.002103805],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.3693078,0.6055374,0.006223796,0.005278161,0.0001155569,0.01100612,0.001767056,0.0002980127,0.0004661075],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.03275271,0.9625694,0.001400807,0.0006387097,0.0001806333,0.0006498285,0.001666314,0.000008978301,0.0001326861],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4057028,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.358337,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2907209330106466,"score_gpt":0.3427581131988979,"score_spread":0.05203718018825132,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}