{"id":"W1522742278","doi":"10.3386/w20677","title":"Markets for Scientific Attribution","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Private Equity and Venture Capital","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Alfred P. Sloan Foundation","keywords":"Attribution; Business; Economics; Financial economics; Psychology; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01386943,0.0001822359,0.0003794132,0.001293366,0.0003825732,0.0005029195,0.00065911,0.0003436588,0.0006589668],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002858441,0.0001883425,0.0002554438,0.0002484607,0.0003155429,0.000583429,0.0003809632,0.0003902764,0.0006417511],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009039052,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001397555,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002532253,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001215659,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969414,0.00002772156,0.0005596844,0.000559266,0.001467519,0.0004444467],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9943764,0.0004819566,0.0004604959,0.0003034504,0.004357141,0.00002054859],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005605126,0.00004498677,0.000348124,0.000637888,0.00005468347,3.883044e-7,0.000002023613,0.00002280521,0.00006493755,0.5197756,0.477512,0.001480499],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003002691,0.00001118347,0.0009224402,0.00008749846,0.00001605128,0.000001450168,0.000005204408,0.001327817,0.00004383526,0.2907774,0.7063613,0.0001455605],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01180472,0.0007685925,0.0003814158,0.0031355,0.006971123,0.001860586,0.0002776864,0.00006606759,0.9747343],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9650978,0.00007921144,0.00009392021,0.00007306029,0.01140099,0.0001896958,0.006256285,0.00005515595,0.01675387],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9579805,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8248626,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4303796351008062,"score_gpt":0.4896784922015626,"score_spread":0.05929885710075633,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}