{"id":"W1523182514","doi":"","title":"The impact of structural breaks on the stability of the out-of-sample predictive content of financial variables for Canada's real GDP growth: An encompassing approach","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Brock University; Laurentian University","funders":"","keywords":"Variable (mathematics); Yield curve; Sample (material); Economics; Econometrics; Stability (learning theory); Yield (engineering); Financial stability; Monetary policy; Content (measure theory); Term (time); Monetary economics; Interest rate; Mathematics; Financial system; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01141177,0.0005799629,0.0009943438,0.00208772,0.001497443,0.003117642,0.001226194,0.001089873,0.001612667],"category_scores_gemma":[0.07766652,0.0003537563,0.0009093882,0.001391744,0.001748126,0.002270544,0.001690986,0.002149179,0.0001351034],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002238921,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001758163,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1879865,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1461453,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970798,0.0007546854,0.0002318348,0.0007677515,0.0007108048,0.0004551945],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9188462,0.0618564,0.008394417,0.005201062,0.004308246,0.00139361],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002170411,0.0001792489,0.7594315,0.0001160159,0.001240789,0.001090872,0.002260394,0.1606482,0.005668903,0.006086557,0.0009697276,0.06013731],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006978271,0.0004924648,0.6596168,0.00004702488,0.0005153388,0.000200831,0.0009807744,0.3289147,0.004363236,0.003848095,0.0008412462,0.0001097095],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.995348,0.0001743682,0.003332944,0.000173601,0.000008201938,0.0000129016,0.0002150975,0.0000420803,0.0006928347],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991764,0.00005610561,0.0003500168,0.0000161781,0.000008738611,0.000001921988,0.0002899355,0.000007308739,0.00009339184],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8120135,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3737846,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.140268556980355,"score_gpt":0.2976557579599101,"score_spread":0.1573872009795551,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}