{"id":"W1523742274","doi":"","title":"Is Economic Activity in the G7 Synchronized? Common Shocks versus Spillover Effects","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":82,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Spillover effect; Economics; Sample (material); Shock (circulatory); Economic geography; Globalization; Industrial production; International economics; Demographic economics; Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Market economy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00304402,0.0002598992,0.0004908349,0.0002318798,0.0002193983,0.0001335832,0.0004668123,0.0001456533,0.0004367848],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008015823,0.0002428563,0.0002546701,0.0001188345,0.00005697311,0.0004799135,0.00002541583,0.001662207,0.001054205],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002374514,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003173203,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001268337,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001632453,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9967977,0.000122331,0.000535601,0.0003541532,0.00003943781,0.002150788],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988852,0.00022623,0.0003754882,0.0004191407,0.000003514256,0.00009041765],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004076538,0.0002269342,0.07936161,0.00002388848,0.0005157079,0.00001404921,0.0009332034,0.001475364,0.00001009603,0.9089841,0.001558031,0.006489381],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01131844,0.001484588,0.04859868,0.00002928994,0.00005879999,0.0005468423,0.0005728476,0.006037439,0.0002158189,0.8499034,0.08004005,0.001193807],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9649277,0.005238372,0.0005189027,0.00109159,0.0008562558,0.0002379085,0.00002112297,0.00001214226,0.02709604],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9944456,0.004131922,0.00002596782,0.0005454724,0.0002531639,0.00001134281,0.000002230303,0.0000299936,0.0005543707],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07848201,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997236,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03208259382847488,"score_gpt":0.2439493981700687,"score_spread":0.2118668043415939,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}