{"id":"W1529570572","doi":"10.1142/s0219024902001730","title":"A PROCESS-RECONSTRUCTION ANALYSIS OF MARKET FLUCTUATIONS","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Nautical Research Society","funders":"","keywords":"Process (computing); Econometrics; Economics; Business; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002702969,0.00007682918,0.0004061538,0.0004168738,0.00003219216,0.0000316545,0.0002013865,0.00004159947,0.003801435],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006854355,0.00007147616,0.0001900108,0.0003878628,0.0002034972,0.00009896008,0.00002679489,0.00008675628,0.00001050428],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002301477,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000004503313,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000006348941,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00000181385,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989591,0.000006760273,0.000730912,0.0001330393,0.00008614015,0.00008405113],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990024,0.00005979198,0.0006607443,0.00009009324,0.0001520726,0.00003488479],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003654343,0.0000606031,0.002760152,0.000005796067,0.0008312046,0.000001478605,0.0001718143,0.0005135207,0.00003377839,0.9884865,0.00009508011,0.007003574],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001267591,0.0001375523,0.05103949,0.00007350426,0.0005171954,0.0001116868,0.0003145883,0.1766225,0.0003513391,0.759193,0.009994184,0.0003773117],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8814781,0.001489577,0.01832512,0.001790595,0.0003856773,0.00008565807,0.0001705661,0.000007575591,0.0962671],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984672,0.0003304669,0.000811622,0.00004460231,0.00008231647,0.000002497854,0.000001856835,0.00000466595,0.0002547814],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2292934,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9971092,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01015213523733264,"score_gpt":0.20956075896713,"score_spread":0.1994086237297974,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}