{"id":"W1531304200","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2273342","title":"Patching vs Packaging: Complementary Effects, Goodness of Fit, Degrees of Freedom and Intentionality in Policy Portfolio Design","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Political and Economic history of UK and US","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Saskatchewan; Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Intentionality; Goodness of fit; Portfolio; Econometrics; Economics; Psychology; Positive economics; Epistemology; Mathematics; Statistics; Financial economics; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001693148,0.0000767282,0.0002190534,0.0001240945,0.0001711108,0.00001635188,0.0001632481,0.00004042832,0.0001042378],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001100133,0.00007000146,0.00006555082,0.00008923037,0.0002525827,0.0002132144,0.0000276245,0.0003607814,0.0000030871],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004871001,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001115673,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04840606,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008229772,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983347,0.0002079996,0.000322904,0.0001004959,0.0001364699,0.0008974226],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994797,0.0001598588,0.0001503698,0.00005486603,0.00004647392,0.0001087015],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004590704,0.0001647312,0.1254368,0.00004309196,0.0001008702,0.000001574434,0.003089698,0.0000944975,0.0002133487,0.8555746,0.0002775486,0.01495736],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001328371,0.0003765933,0.217444,0.0001183774,0.00003382092,0.00002797507,0.01140841,0.0004634822,0.00004654288,0.7673016,0.001217501,0.0002333374],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.993929,0.0009410944,0.001775823,0.001135683,0.000109412,0.0001451014,0.000003589505,0.000005745366,0.00195461],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986292,0.0006852281,0.0002124877,0.00004637112,0.000150304,0.000003423203,0.000001128125,0.000004507642,0.0002673724],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09200725,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9579307,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02639875707759242,"score_gpt":0.2876274776364517,"score_spread":0.2612287205588593,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}