{"id":"W1536813806","doi":"10.1029/180gm10","title":"The Role of Natural Versus Forced Change in Future Rapid Summer Arctic Ice Loss","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Geophysical monograph","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":64,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Arctic; The arctic; Natural (archaeology); Oceanography; Sea ice; Environmental science; Meteorology; Geology; Geography; Physical geography; Atmospheric sciences; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006286438,0.0002693646,0.00014716,0.0002256084,0.0004608951,0.002162697,0.0004624503,0.0006113761,0.005771366],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001441684,0.0002379654,0.0006182854,0.0003140269,0.0003927411,0.001543088,0.0005861033,0.0006155211,0.0003462218],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001494617,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001017286,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0228522,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03084647,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998976,0.00002597285,0.000007462318,0.00002779431,0.00002116422,0.00001995535],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999809,0.00009192584,0.00003188266,0.00001087623,0.00003372246,0.00002260226],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009681621,0.0002509271,0.281856,0.00105947,0.0006030108,0.0008529407,0.001329067,0.2899092,0.01011482,0.1941058,0.025336,0.1936145],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001017245,0.0002749361,0.5220463,0.0004896396,0.0002691188,0.0004188102,0.002500912,0.3223222,0.004771485,0.08317983,0.06348582,0.0001391793],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8607464,0.01101258,0.01237886,0.0113357,0.001620941,0.00003820121,0.005187796,0.0002557306,0.09742382],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9887904,0.003378768,0.001496149,0.0001647632,0.000194741,0.00001116039,0.000530571,0.00005784192,0.00537559],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0228522,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04543835,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01490130937581818,"score_gpt":0.201700101597451,"score_spread":0.1867987922216328,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}