{"id":"W1542032439","doi":"","title":"Talking about tomorrow’s monetary policy today","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"FRB SF weekly letter","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Monetary policy; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Central bank; Forward guidance; Interest rate; Monetary economics; Open market operation; Business; Inflation targeting; Credit channel","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002037673,0.0003418037,0.0003186827,0.0005976284,0.005703663,0.004592955,0.0004899981,0.009480822,0.02316049],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008973828,0.0002219531,0.0002715867,0.0005930625,0.001412266,0.003208659,0.0008301064,0.009430123,0.005091669],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004673315,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00298827,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05447338,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1158751,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992054,0.0001862356,0.00004976152,0.00009229899,0.0002126211,0.0002536999],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976502,0.00100009,0.0003326858,0.0000691168,0.000365564,0.0005824166],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006659878,0.00002149326,0.001768915,0.00004164078,0.000007376816,0.0004262475,0.001894568,0.00003777349,0.0004647744,0.01127632,0.9693062,0.01468803],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001792549,0.0000355585,0.009041643,0.0002353864,0.00001105527,0.0002160348,0.003212443,0.00009597536,0.0003568341,0.004464423,0.9822665,0.00004622429],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.007498225,0.005857502,0.000171633,0.9063587,0.01776752,0.00001008444,0.0003241035,0.00007286824,0.06193946],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1299939,0.008349661,0.0006483449,0.6648988,0.02345236,0.00004380397,0.0004356631,0.0001200593,0.1720575],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05447338,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1083126,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03556360599799784,"score_gpt":0.2212776729045787,"score_spread":0.1857140669065808,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}