{"id":"W1551079243","doi":"10.3386/w20444","title":"Is the 'Quarter of Birth' Endogenous? Evidence From One Million Siblings in Taiwan","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Academia Sinica","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Demography; Geography; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0128611,0.0001684502,0.0005098449,0.0008544105,0.0002487079,0.00007674967,0.001107885,0.0004739206,0.0006576024],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002599629,0.0001510338,0.0001874147,0.0005060128,0.0008053243,0.0001910481,0.0001368094,0.000711168,0.00007484583],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001466805,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006874803,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.08831163,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02171384,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9948665,0.0006463503,0.0008613354,0.0005060478,0.002657955,0.0004618154],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9940949,0.002586175,0.0004934123,0.0004041924,0.002325624,0.00009566622],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003574059,0.0007924524,0.4359895,0.001124392,0.001071819,0.00001305657,0.09788126,0.001397344,0.00340283,0.3402012,0.1115293,0.006239451],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001121541,0.0003635247,0.09066553,0.001566939,0.00006508781,0.000003801364,0.01860479,0.001666591,0.0003605474,0.8284565,0.05631286,0.0008123208],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3211768,0.006088258,0.00004477402,0.01050222,0.001367162,0.001862801,0.0006819636,0.00002429477,0.6582518],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.987826,0.008617709,0.0001467901,0.00005722098,0.0009658745,0.00004710582,0.000102604,0.00002314155,0.00221351],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6666493,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9987553,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.409652580922891,"score_gpt":0.4821694767132272,"score_spread":0.07251689579033627,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}