{"id":"W1554411802","doi":"","title":"What Caused the Great Moderation? Some Cross-Country Evidence","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Econometric Reviews","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":191,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Great Moderation; Economics; Luck; Moderation; Volatility (finance); Developed country; Developing country; International economics; Development economics; Monetary economics; Economic growth; Financial economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02564555,0.0007960686,0.001982606,0.002847051,0.001520777,0.00412418,0.001747387,0.002559969,0.01267303],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04957145,0.0006766165,0.003449992,0.005031616,0.003430004,0.003487505,0.003310005,0.002894343,0.001343466],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00125283,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001128261,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0146698,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01174801,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9878166,0.005186656,0.001272984,0.003293838,0.001201607,0.001228333],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8694659,0.09165724,0.02066673,0.009338219,0.006662713,0.002209122],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001995917,0.0003137582,0.7867943,0.006358345,0.02119413,0.001886752,0.00539351,0.001319179,0.001029251,0.04994231,0.01392381,0.1098488],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003888325,0.0005114324,0.8672152,0.003444658,0.01159316,0.0008780146,0.007797552,0.0009602368,0.002470616,0.03312841,0.07141906,0.0001927457],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4851096,0.3788386,0.008300501,0.07234364,0.002525063,0.0002009814,0.0031222,0.000215445,0.04934385],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9374824,0.04405145,0.001861848,0.01154531,0.001780712,0.00005179086,0.001083638,0.00008707116,0.002055843],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02564555,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1356283,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08705397083980522,"score_gpt":0.3052215569624886,"score_spread":0.2181675861226834,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}