{"id":"W1568066864","doi":"10.20381/ruor-25572","title":"The Stock Market and the Consumer Confidence Channel in Canada","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"uO Research (University of Ottawa)","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Consumer confidence index; Stock (firearms); Stock market; Stock exchange; Economics; Consumer spending; Financial economics; Monetary economics; Business; Finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003554627,0.0001078409,0.0001729729,0.0008904872,0.001456885,0.001676648,0.0003989774,0.0002584892,0.005063024],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002531386,0.000119784,0.0002237481,0.001977136,0.0009543184,0.0004802036,0.0006283955,0.0005088559,0.0001318866],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02373584,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02061386,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9913778,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9933237,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996307,0.00002064054,0.000009532043,0.00002707369,0.0001744285,0.0001376414],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981111,0.0002987297,0.0004499566,0.00005704784,0.0007480679,0.0003350414],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002124476,0.00007001316,0.9416192,0.00005250008,0.00007551314,0.000412139,0.003999193,0.00116669,0.0005983916,0.01052191,0.005150819,0.03612124],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001049818,0.00001617848,0.9899624,0.00002486431,0.00003254431,0.00004165371,0.002883577,0.001470762,0.0001958638,0.0004659092,0.004874833,0.00002096059],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9769743,0.0004911127,0.0001225066,0.001604871,0.000009501763,0.00001280682,0.0007627874,0.000009956139,0.02001224],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997468,0.0002599869,0.00005577402,0.00006626413,0.000003507937,0.000001383111,0.0001717265,0.000002486556,0.001970844],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02373584,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1722164,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04372700380610745,"score_gpt":0.2428210085005792,"score_spread":0.1990940046944717,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}