{"id":"W1569063083","doi":"","title":"Dutch GDP Data Revisions: Are They Predictable and Where Do They Come from?","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Predictability; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Rationality; Econometrics; Term (time); Consumption (sociology); Real gross domestic product; Statistics; Geography; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005649444,0.0003299535,0.0006234245,0.001314776,0.0002471827,0.002063965,0.0004824423,0.0006506079,0.001745152],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05976219,0.0004464567,0.0005866804,0.001639374,0.0006899274,0.002513631,0.000742099,0.001288837,0.0005925964],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009960401,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008910283,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01608186,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01314872,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972575,0.0006939596,0.0002987881,0.000616285,0.0008550588,0.0002784794],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9393309,0.03450917,0.01825426,0.003358909,0.003986091,0.0005607023],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004588538,0.00005236506,0.8643566,0.0001705201,0.000250131,0.000854918,0.001984967,0.01986433,0.00121708,0.009643159,0.003052645,0.09809437],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003390536,0.00009435011,0.9236125,0.0001345443,0.00008870805,0.0003904807,0.001252207,0.05122429,0.002201075,0.0148918,0.005984,0.00009211861],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9758593,0.001586162,0.009614595,0.003037648,0.00008684936,0.00004767969,0.002726129,0.0001362231,0.006905299],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970487,0.0004387407,0.0008010581,0.00006631825,0.00004028755,0.00001020682,0.001034751,0.00003058789,0.0005293422],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01608186,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03197652,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05097977328531191,"score_gpt":0.2482505536937386,"score_spread":0.1972707804084267,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}