{"id":"W1574475632","doi":"","title":"Darkening Sentiment. Business Cycle Report of June 2008","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"German Economic Analysis & Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Business cycle; Economics; Keynesian economics; Economic history; Agricultural economics; Demographic economics; History; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005934134,0.0003278982,0.001100124,0.0005659711,0.0001759673,0.00005486434,0.0004676975,0.0001668731,0.001866163],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003970554,0.0004395205,0.0003354138,0.0002570503,0.0002728387,0.0006377516,0.00005130682,0.0001645657,0.003604268],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002704454,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001100063,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002109438,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001242853,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964833,0.0000250493,0.002156817,0.0007359681,0.00003914704,0.0005596967],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970563,0.00006266354,0.001664309,0.001000828,0.00004809757,0.0001677687],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001810073,0.0008539137,0.7242705,0.0001652207,0.003141613,0.0006400516,0.01486247,0.007901678,0.0004829358,0.08710773,0.1562339,0.004158909],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.008583418,0.0005428744,0.64268,0.0001045997,0.0002450421,0.003222299,0.003232344,0.01513517,0.001450296,0.03989282,0.2808661,0.004045057],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9710037,0.0003134601,0.000781503,0.001061122,0.001081213,0.0002257363,0.000162979,0.00006950057,0.02530083],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9850318,0.00007334469,0.0004336143,0.00007846116,0.0002965583,0.00002200177,0.00009059134,0.00005628718,0.01391735],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1246322,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998056,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.024042401382312,"score_gpt":0.2175006853946232,"score_spread":0.1934582840123112,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}