{"id":"W1578026037","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2167722","title":"Real Return Bonds and Sunspots","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"York University","funders":"","keywords":"Sunspot; Bond; Economics; Physics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009724712,0.0002289132,0.0004629739,0.0006971754,0.0003311012,0.002693291,0.0004641002,0.001249738,0.009185314],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01053142,0.0002493376,0.000220904,0.0009426335,0.000866397,0.002914769,0.0006336077,0.001499562,0.0005168937],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004669625,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001954405,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006449309,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006366786,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998339,0.00006262292,0.00001246321,0.00003855052,0.0000249217,0.00002745953],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9949136,0.002504295,0.001598147,0.0002518905,0.0002903125,0.0004417228],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004093254,0.0001128852,0.03266006,0.0001770488,0.00009214614,0.001151053,0.0005275643,0.03305908,0.001002161,0.8837489,0.007802806,0.03925681],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006505688,0.00008979776,0.01737739,0.00005658912,0.00005462021,0.0007835883,0.0004291153,0.04453512,0.0002770176,0.9295413,0.00675514,0.00003528046],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9185064,0.00758054,0.0310605,0.00640218,0.0003607409,0.00001455831,0.0003716741,0.00014931,0.03555406],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908358,0.001564833,0.0005173646,0.00006993827,0.0002056912,0.00000373634,0.00008193676,0.00002048175,0.006700344],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009185314,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03072792,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01428668457201603,"score_gpt":0.2069465370993552,"score_spread":0.1926598525273392,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}