{"id":"W1588626284","doi":"","title":"Dynamic Models of Portfolio Behavior: More on Pitfalls in Financial Model Building","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"American Economic Review","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Portfolio; Constraint (computer-aided design); Stock (firearms); Econometrics; Consistency (knowledge bases); Asset (computer security); Consumption (sociology); Capital asset; Microeconomics; Financial economics; Finance; Mathematics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00595459,0.002068779,0.002610628,0.001756847,0.0008463411,0.004482906,0.003870709,0.003887753,0.01043628],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0135616,0.0009710144,0.002317701,0.003157006,0.004745314,0.01508837,0.002407724,0.009822071,0.002443637],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003030768,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001612064,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00667898,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004961569,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979815,0.001231214,0.0001021952,0.0002614922,0.0003442108,0.00007929331],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9930466,0.005492357,0.0003497017,0.0005925604,0.0003934435,0.0001252855],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009394517,0.00002682704,0.0002800559,0.0002942323,0.00008555075,0.00005792668,0.000141875,0.03609901,0.00004753472,0.9315639,0.01015398,0.02123959],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008629272,0.00001780711,0.00014439,0.0002451786,0.0000185698,0.00004837507,0.00004418825,0.03979702,0.0000384569,0.9195723,0.04003654,0.00002867834],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.004974689,0.2161326,0.6349995,0.1014746,0.00385357,0.00004781652,0.0005857333,0.0006579995,0.03727343],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2694617,0.4510663,0.1997067,0.03027778,0.02305367,0.0004668433,0.0008950446,0.0009326058,0.0241393],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01043628,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03491277,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02583887804739815,"score_gpt":0.2671341386728879,"score_spread":0.2412952606254897,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}