{"id":"W1589893850","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2240019","title":"A Simple Model of the Nominal Term Structure of Interest Rates","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Stochastic processes and financial applications","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Term (time); Simple (philosophy); Yield curve; Nominal interest rate; Econometrics; Interest rate; Mathematics; Economics; Real interest rate; Philosophy; Macroeconomics; Physics; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001219091,0.0005719709,0.001057788,0.0007101647,0.0006720405,0.003280935,0.002346772,0.004832475,0.007750547],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004844058,0.0005104357,0.00101146,0.00140611,0.001086583,0.00340984,0.0008535075,0.002112778,0.002110316],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001204605,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001156462,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004941674,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002669164,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994017,0.0002271013,0.00003367665,0.0001479086,0.0001257911,0.00006376728],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986079,0.0006292487,0.0002580762,0.0001491985,0.0002150332,0.0001405676],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009545617,0.00006931418,0.0008056305,0.00009948949,0.00004397272,0.0005458855,0.0002037179,0.2094172,0.002022767,0.7760956,0.00442553,0.006175508],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001171975,0.00007660792,0.0008245555,0.00002301815,0.00004146038,0.000400875,0.00004634635,0.6734012,0.0002868432,0.3186765,0.006041815,0.00006355061],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1361068,0.002291439,0.7529891,0.01403574,0.0009903394,0.0001532071,0.004118791,0.000857188,0.08845748],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8884184,0.001838206,0.03439941,0.0007798381,0.001108582,0.0001674474,0.0009510185,0.0001312123,0.07220603],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.007750547,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02592814,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0224527089564881,"score_gpt":0.2244981286682226,"score_spread":0.2020454197117345,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}