{"id":"W1590340948","doi":"10.1111/jep.12012","title":"Predicting post‐discharge death or readmission: deterioration of model performance in population having multiple admissions per patient","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice","topic":"Heart Failure Treatment and Management","field":"Medicine","cited_by":25,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences; Ottawa Hospital; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Medicine; Confidence interval; Statistic; Emergency medicine; Hospital discharge; Intensive care medicine; Internal medicine; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007742952,0.0001038827,0.0003310237,0.0002367286,0.0000495943,0.00001117128,0.00003880059,0.0001154983,0.0001921286],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03160435,0.00007210343,0.00009430668,0.0001695803,0.000009713296,0.00148192,0.00003298654,0.0003961107,0.000005003352],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002352475,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003672351,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000381747,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003019968,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9965675,0.0005511036,0.001768691,0.0001261758,0.000815915,0.0001705766],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9965187,0.001213276,0.001190329,0.0001585564,0.0006900011,0.0002291372],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002187567,0.001578916,0.9676777,0.00005423431,0.00003517756,0.000006566739,0.001026809,0.002477692,0.000459458,0.00001426784,0.0001112642,0.02437034],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00301884,0.001196507,0.7999303,0.0005902945,0.0003257866,0.00006150815,0.0006764601,0.1931354,0.000060915,0.00001761677,0.0009162729,0.00007015019],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9948033,0.0001355115,0.0003459381,0.003430453,0.0002966574,0.0006174358,0.000001045644,0.000005581467,0.0003640941],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.966927,0.0001357867,0.03236973,0.0002933101,0.0001743159,0.00001346023,0.00001308903,0.00001098449,0.00006234638],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1906577,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9765528,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1827117466418526,"score_gpt":0.4823336691431727,"score_spread":0.2996219225013201,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}