{"id":"W1591534703","doi":"10.6277/ter.2003.314.2","title":"Re-examining the Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations: A Rational Expectations Structural VAR Approach","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Exchange rate; Economics; Rational expectations; Explanatory power; Shock (circulatory); Econometrics; Foreign exchange; Monetary economics; Foreign exchange market; Vector autoregression","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001485455,0.0007670003,0.0006753735,0.0007822635,0.0001772024,0.001300857,0.0007990706,0.0005686599,0.001599583],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005520255,0.0003807826,0.0008703425,0.0005372016,0.0004045088,0.001705416,0.0006360075,0.00112176,0.0002749573],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003185442,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006084418,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002370969,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002202729,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994286,0.0003001119,0.0000334238,0.00009320069,0.00009410256,0.00005049072],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984617,0.0009752601,0.0002246866,0.0001549359,0.0001427194,0.00004066127],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000196875,0.0001300786,0.01542923,0.0001300183,0.0003921872,0.0004261934,0.0004987591,0.6508369,0.005842147,0.2288092,0.001068158,0.09624027],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001845154,0.00003196236,0.001721048,0.000009888143,0.00003090715,0.00004022642,0.00005410776,0.9498274,0.0007552838,0.04695082,0.0005431728,0.00001673443],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1416326,0.000289365,0.8536037,0.0005910664,0.00005703789,0.00002731889,0.000120028,0.0002625663,0.003416251],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9446532,0.0003879187,0.0527541,0.00006770886,0.00008624852,0.00002543949,0.0003384581,0.00006345972,0.001623543],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.002370969,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.007855892,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.110669062185497,"score_gpt":0.2491616465515784,"score_spread":0.1384925843660814,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}