{"id":"W159677738","doi":"","title":"Permanent and Transitory Movements in Output and Unemployment: Okun’s Law Persists","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"NAIRU; Unemployment; Natural rate of unemployment; Economics; Okun's law; Inflation (cosmology); Full employment; Keynesian economics; Phillips curve; Recession; Bivariate analysis; Unemployment rate; Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003473433,0.0005380248,0.001273411,0.0008428231,0.001112253,0.002675038,0.00152078,0.001841113,0.00822967],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01768248,0.0007864176,0.001563774,0.001169946,0.003260152,0.004900615,0.002148937,0.00392552,0.000825438],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001699436,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001338028,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01746211,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008665195,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986522,0.0003965151,0.00005033908,0.0004016069,0.0001884409,0.0003109393],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9926045,0.005377869,0.0009644729,0.0004007951,0.0003301661,0.0003222282],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001099515,0.00007430107,0.02420079,0.00007814657,0.0001345986,0.000523982,0.001225068,0.04799649,0.0003030788,0.9002255,0.00521815,0.01990995],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005211864,0.00007433177,0.01910712,0.00009112672,0.00009420689,0.0002649455,0.0004480581,0.3783824,0.0001664792,0.5932863,0.007967699,0.00006516931],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3929782,0.004892472,0.5205577,0.01668113,0.0003368235,0.0001329869,0.001132477,0.0002753161,0.06301294],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9698093,0.001546046,0.00772049,0.0005053233,0.0002586207,0.00008331766,0.0003121754,0.00009052244,0.01967409],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01746211,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03472096,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0260714487543543,"score_gpt":0.2115550154975258,"score_spread":0.1854835667431715,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}