{"id":"W1603896524","doi":"","title":"HOUSING CONSTRUCTION CYCLES AND INTEREST RATES","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":30,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Interest rate; Economics; Investment (military); Sensitivity (control systems); Business cycle; Econometrics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000873475,0.0001785443,0.0002239529,0.0005122118,0.0002315731,0.001455461,0.0003717048,0.0006421461,0.002954648],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009310747,0.0002789659,0.000316965,0.0009968769,0.0007689305,0.0007689906,0.0004361298,0.0006224773,0.000300813],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001660984,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006120323,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0330755,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01890904,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997056,0.0001161515,0.00001683891,0.00005070582,0.0000600618,0.00005059168],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9973521,0.001018828,0.001095082,0.0001610337,0.000276836,0.00009610154],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003142248,0.0001129378,0.3393873,0.0001180442,0.0001759949,0.0004680686,0.001423061,0.3692502,0.002741758,0.2295091,0.005038421,0.05146097],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004022841,0.00008358526,0.2368825,0.00005332073,0.00006516479,0.0002569179,0.0004643482,0.638905,0.001528039,0.1087964,0.01286977,0.00005473036],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9598657,0.001323005,0.02149423,0.001620934,0.0000218263,0.00003544083,0.0008374675,0.00007242599,0.01472893],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9953653,0.0004716761,0.0009153398,0.00003175055,0.00001132397,0.00001196171,0.000275564,0.00001274976,0.00290432],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0330755,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06576598,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0627914717324563,"score_gpt":0.2965211466194666,"score_spread":0.2337296748870103,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}