{"id":"W1617145133","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31679-8","title":"Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Health, Environment, Cognitive Aging","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":7796,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University; Heart and Stroke Foundation; Université de Montréal; University of British Columbia; University of Toronto; University of Ottawa; University of Calgary; Public Health Agency of Canada; Health Canada; University of Manitoba","funders":"National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; National Institute on Aging; Sistema Nacional de Investigadores; National Health and Medical Research Council; Medical Research Council; School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town; University of California, San Diego; Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Gillings School of Public Health; Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales; Western Sydney University; Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; Universidade Federal de Sergipe; INCLIVA Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria; Fakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U Kragujevcu; Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Regione Toscana; The Wellcome Trust DBT India Alliance; Addis Ababa University; Alfaisal University; University of Gondar; Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental; Simmons College; Universitetet i Bergen; Haramaya University; University of Tokyo; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center; Jordan University of Science and Technology; Nova Southeastern University; Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre; AXA Research Fund; Kyung Hee University; Birzeit University; Yonsei University; National Cancer Institute; European Regional Development Fund; University of Massachusetts Boston; Lahore College for Women University; Seoul National University; Sun Yat-sen University; Universitat de València; Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam; Queensland University of Technology; Foundation for Education and European Culture; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; James Cook University; International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh; Monash University; Rijksuniversiteit Groningen; Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University; National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; Universität Heidelberg; Universität Bielefeld; Universiteit Stellenbosch; Public Health England; Wageningen University and Research; Public Health Foundation of India; Swansea University; Universitat de Barcelona; Academy of Finland; Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology; King's College London; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Academy of Medical Sciences; Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen; South Dakota Governor's Office of Economic Development; Ahmadu Bello University; University of Ghana; Aarhus Universitet; Koch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; United Arab Emirates University; La Trobe University; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul; Central South University; Arabian Gulf University; Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania; Cancer Research UK; Trường Đại học Duy Tân; Johns Hopkins University; Wellcome Trust; International Society of Nephrology; Ball State University; Department of Biotechnology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India; Virginia Commonwealth University; University of Cape Town; University of Ottawa; Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand; Sichuan University; Inyuvesi Yakwazulu-Natali; Russian Academy of Sciences; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; University of Rochester; Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences; University of Louisville; Brandeis University; RMIT University; National Center for Child Health and Development; National Research Foundation; American University of Beirut; Hacettepe Üniversitesi; Medical Center, University of Rochester; University of Pittsburgh; Ministry of Health and Medical Education; School of Medicine, Wayne State University; University of Michigan; Robert Koch Institut; Iran University of Medical Sciences; National Science Foundation; Massachusetts General Hospital; Oklahoma State University; University of Pennsylvania; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Wayne State University; Korea Health Industry Development Institute; United States Agency for International Development; George Mason University; Curtin University of Technology; Universiteit Gent; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; National Research University Higher School of Economics; Helsingin Yliopisto; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Arak University of Medical Sciences; Yale University; United Nations Population Fund; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Children's Hospital of Philadelphia; University of Aberdeen; AstraZeneca","keywords":"Environmental health; Risk assessment; Medicine; Burden of disease; Risk analysis (engineering); Economics; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0514132,0.001378278,0.007045845,0.01636797,0.0006071097,0.00174917,0.001523191,0.001207408,0.001922335],"category_scores_gemma":[0.09453874,0.001059272,0.02406528,0.01529714,0.0009845706,0.001534754,0.003015288,0.001361333,0.0001809201],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003663712,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006796621,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02178005,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04075414,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9503113,0.02337568,0.01521868,0.004177369,0.006109028,0.0008078996],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9442499,0.03389611,0.01309849,0.002732523,0.005552282,0.000470653],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"meta_analysis","study_design_gemma":"meta_analysis","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00231526,0.00003622779,0.1371437,0.2887897,0.4978791,0.0002040823,0.000722663,0.002063955,0.000207468,0.002152871,0.005436793,0.06304808],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001455373,0.0004855573,0.1480789,0.1311883,0.6965674,0.0005482772,0.0005219785,0.001738902,0.0003593208,0.00346287,0.0154066,0.0001866142],"study_design_candidate":"meta_analysis","study_design_consensus":"meta_analysis","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.03140314,0.9465187,0.004287705,0.0009826507,0.0002467758,0.001342033,0.01429795,0.00006734987,0.0008536411],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6266082,0.3383634,0.01379752,0.001769406,0.0003704016,0.005596043,0.01315878,0.00006928224,0.000266904],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.0514132,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2719022,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1426700627419425,"score_gpt":0.416423785036139,"score_spread":0.2737537222941966,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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