{"id":"W1750542883","doi":"10.12831/75573","title":"Defaults and Returns in the High-Yield Bond Market: Third-Quarter 2013 Review","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Default; Quarter (Canadian coin); Bond; Yield (engineering); Economics; Interest rate; Bond market; Monetary economics; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001631146,0.0003751125,0.0008108959,0.004078504,0.0002484186,0.002030005,0.0004811142,0.001241373,0.002757426],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008201854,0.0002665523,0.0004912913,0.005783964,0.0007799303,0.002147706,0.0005003032,0.001209216,0.001124022],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001249658,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001551117,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004645147,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005545119,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993122,0.000138813,0.0001221885,0.00009011636,0.0002828861,0.00005371152],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.991687,0.003669284,0.002085056,0.0001531349,0.002102504,0.000303018],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001969661,0.00008495054,0.02478319,0.007703435,0.0003291907,0.0002354111,0.0003382072,0.001242984,0.0003830371,0.01559371,0.1149626,0.8341464],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003432821,0.0002511308,0.1718535,0.03335516,0.0005777242,0.001625138,0.000919231,0.001597235,0.0007157234,0.01857685,0.7703928,0.0001011869],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.001926237,0.9941595,0.0001403856,0.001505855,0.0001683721,0.000002441971,0.00009249931,0.000005204657,0.001999497],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01741563,0.9800252,0.0001041156,0.000439151,0.00104787,0.000004041445,0.0001463298,0.000006369653,0.0008112993],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004645147,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009236217,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03833481141437884,"score_gpt":0.2796238041657341,"score_spread":0.2412889927513553,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}