{"id":"W1817915728","doi":"10.4236/tel.2015.54064","title":"Fluctuations in Base Metals Prices","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theoretical Economics Letters","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Market liquidity; Economics; Monetary economics; Base (topology); Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001781683,0.0001616385,0.0004059932,0.0002264049,0.0000363857,0.00008663053,0.000283989,0.00008496828,0.000891896],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000350715,0.0001893539,0.0001035341,0.0001493867,0.0002819861,0.0002314099,0.0000864332,0.0001764634,0.0003317873],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002127451,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002665293,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00008460237,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005757151,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984828,0.00003325761,0.00069632,0.0004269656,0.00002219067,0.0003384276],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990446,0.0001596421,0.0001717513,0.000412545,0.00001548379,0.0001959799],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002586759,0.00005052547,0.01786793,0.00000569348,0.00001889745,0.000002301656,0.0001745546,0.0006531776,0.000009180565,0.9809096,0.0002033772,0.00007890767],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006242911,0.00002296267,0.007734326,0.000003818031,0.000004637787,0.000001989897,0.00004656194,0.2486274,0.000009537618,0.7396002,0.003058296,0.0002659932],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9164525,0.0001110668,0.01176532,0.008118026,0.0003220932,0.0001976897,0.00009611378,0.00003097668,0.06290618],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9949911,0.00003312161,0.002454747,0.002319728,0.00007247837,0.00002464286,0.00002442567,0.0000236482,0.00005613013],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2479742,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9765635,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02537358857073922,"score_gpt":0.2212768085318738,"score_spread":0.1959032199611345,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}