{"id":"W1881390491","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2097391","title":"The Real Effects of Sovereign Credit Risk: Evidence from the European Sovereign Debt Crisis","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Sovereign debt; Financial system; Sovereignty; European debt crisis; Business; Credit risk; Debt crisis; Sovereign credit; Economics; Monetary economics; Credit default swap; Debt; Economic policy; European union; Political science; Finance; European integration","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002359028,0.0001968013,0.0005044107,0.000958012,0.0004131302,0.002483107,0.0004604744,0.001855966,0.003568053],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01414004,0.0002492905,0.0003577094,0.002127309,0.00121692,0.001753529,0.001422156,0.002055957,0.0004816506],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005839788,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004054279,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007678773,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007651926,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993499,0.0002477371,0.00008502556,0.00008915754,0.0001230777,0.0001050312],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9823574,0.008548839,0.005773879,0.0009472448,0.001431365,0.0009412506],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.005734993,0.000944999,0.9009093,0.0004935734,0.0006342406,0.001591875,0.002556968,0.01040713,0.001928912,0.02076668,0.01371637,0.04031494],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001504234,0.0002067155,0.9837578,0.00009874713,0.0001474316,0.0001899785,0.001480941,0.002279537,0.0004941846,0.004665243,0.006493751,0.00003524041],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9900318,0.002476742,0.0001828004,0.002414456,0.00002898303,0.000005340762,0.001082377,0.000008879305,0.003768582],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9974081,0.001247588,0.00004097838,0.000130711,0.00004176214,0.00000253104,0.0006795043,0.000004980732,0.0004439128],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007678773,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01526815,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01513150546717626,"score_gpt":0.2188827403090189,"score_spread":0.2037512348418426,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}