{"id":"W1881424619","doi":"10.1111/stan.12028","title":"Adaptive permutation tests for serial independence","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Statistica Neerlandica","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada; Carleton University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Permutation (music); Independence (probability theory); Random permutation; Random walk; Mathematics; Econometrics; Statistics; Statistical hypothesis testing; Autocorrelation; Algorithm; Combinatorics; Symmetric group","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003827959,0.0001242828,0.0003484189,0.0001272698,0.0001510589,0.00007882702,0.0001345772,0.00006881746,0.0009208095],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003851389,0.0001351752,0.00008452537,0.0001476459,0.00004542557,0.00009935663,0.0000253173,0.00007220301,0.0003679616],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004319454,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001706205,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004611634,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001740087,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989069,0.00001651803,0.0004377756,0.0003395204,0.00005406406,0.0002452349],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991683,0.000226209,0.0002451434,0.0002117202,0.00005900449,0.00008962016],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005906525,0.0000276595,0.002847012,0.00003018148,0.00006775059,0.000001161629,0.0002705525,0.0001117171,0.0000192123,0.9895021,0.003769804,0.003293727],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002082034,0.0008740061,0.05391717,0.00002844961,0.00005825278,0.000009923987,0.0002247658,0.2109244,0.00002143437,0.5579628,0.1731972,0.0006995049],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.007687021,0.0001603166,0.9717347,0.0002742156,0.0004193543,0.0003455541,0.001385402,0.00005420042,0.01793922],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9856977,0.00000647193,0.0124838,0.00007202153,0.0002526257,0.00006689369,0.0001095914,0.00002094329,0.001289902],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9780107,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999925,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03181378853635297,"score_gpt":0.2423555611176917,"score_spread":0.2105417725813387,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}