{"id":"W1889127777","doi":"10.17016/feds.2015.029","title":"Inflation Expectations and Recovery from the Depression in 1933: Evidence from the Narrative Record","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Finance and Economics Discussion Series","topic":"Italy: Economic History and Contemporary Issues","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Narrative; Inflation (cosmology); Great Depression; Quarter (Canadian coin); Keynesian economics; Depression (economics); Economics; Business cycle; History; Psychology; Monetary economics; Literature; Art","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001637038,0.0001078186,0.0001878843,0.001318753,0.0004775936,0.002069834,0.0003431274,0.0005500123,0.002453147],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01652255,0.0001436096,0.0001221742,0.003291992,0.0008043357,0.001284083,0.0009584657,0.0009004875,0.0004656576],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006952795,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003424134,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01781403,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01879542,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999603,0.0001122143,0.00004863495,0.00005818366,0.0001040417,0.00007396056],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9875331,0.003848214,0.006817644,0.0004890174,0.0008295105,0.0004824466],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000411681,0.0001003928,0.9327567,0.0002092782,0.0001477393,0.0008895104,0.01835928,0.0003178689,0.0002375364,0.007132835,0.006151328,0.03328601],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008537384,0.00003486831,0.984411,0.0001126559,0.00003803525,0.0001508366,0.005107629,0.0002272238,0.0001394374,0.0009079119,0.008848535,0.00001348667],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9747701,0.003084661,0.0002841606,0.002774717,0.00004017936,0.00001211127,0.001589422,0.000006691453,0.0174379],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9954412,0.002503091,0.00006413641,0.0001595469,0.0001074788,0.000005585289,0.001161947,0.000005309451,0.0005516441],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01781403,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03542072,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05184285695343611,"score_gpt":0.2267711329457697,"score_spread":0.1749282759923336,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}