{"id":"W1889711449","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1727682","title":"Analyst Consensus Revisions and Credit Rating Actions","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Concordia University","funders":"","keywords":"Credit rating; Bond credit rating; Business; Actuarial science; Accounting; Credit reference; Credit risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001226649,0.000114307,0.0002368124,0.0002319673,0.0006190576,0.0001092143,0.0001255501,0.0001014112,0.0001743364],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004837105,0.0001229539,0.000112131,0.0002521743,0.0000855423,0.0001350309,0.00002875738,0.001678913,0.00007631144],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001427867,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002958383,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000117619,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001933327,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983215,0.00001137036,0.0004694509,0.0002181508,0.00004074605,0.0009388262],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992636,0.00007576266,0.0003064614,0.0001890985,0.00005556013,0.0001095477],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000005495618,0.00002554912,0.02695588,0.000001691309,0.00004788627,0.000001340516,0.00008303917,0.0000202048,0.0002147026,0.9590324,0.0002682242,0.01334359],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008256218,0.0001560134,0.1149879,0.00001280614,0.00004203824,0.0008142146,0.0009117316,0.003443375,0.00001706106,0.7440984,0.1342828,0.0004080487],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.966388,0.004096423,0.01495273,0.002654279,0.0009603309,0.0001168153,0.0000342848,0.00003566765,0.01076141],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946198,0.002457518,0.0008086683,0.00001754364,0.0008159782,0.000004107415,0.000005305089,0.00001685645,0.001254252],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.214934,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7294134,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01926449073598756,"score_gpt":0.2432492932440816,"score_spread":0.223984802508094,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}