{"id":"W1910537218","doi":"10.1111/meta.12107","title":"You Make Your Own Luck","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Metaphilosophy","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Luck; Counterfactual thinking; Causation; Epistemology; Positive economics; Metaphysics; Psychology; Law and economics; Philosophy; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00402978,0.0004660155,0.0003686938,0.0006302611,0.003821834,0.00714545,0.0007379755,0.002313793,0.01588701],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01157813,0.0002328204,0.0003765252,0.0003575116,0.01759432,0.006529353,0.004220419,0.005226183,0.006246019],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002282354,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001545877,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001135893,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001195575,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9943039,0.003067156,0.0001545873,0.0005410152,0.001318281,0.0006150421],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9945661,0.001817188,0.0006217211,0.000829657,0.001251311,0.0009140756],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004264881,0.0000525973,0.001682235,0.0001156998,0.00003300545,0.0003550142,0.01547724,0.0003202864,0.0005250731,0.8889812,0.06486145,0.02755355],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000147378,0.00008241547,0.00143471,0.0004459549,0.00002597516,0.000511292,0.00968514,0.0005135262,0.001344931,0.3193869,0.6664962,0.00005827425],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04291331,0.00462272,0.02647395,0.1541543,0.004171531,0.0000585322,0.0001550324,0.0003340418,0.7671165],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8210304,0.002142676,0.003391042,0.0190111,0.001111514,0.00006743429,0.00008290131,0.0002546213,0.1529083],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01588701,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05314738,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08191204937160894,"score_gpt":0.2694806599483048,"score_spread":0.1875686105766959,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}