{"id":"W1912262825","doi":"10.1029/2003gl019300","title":"Modeling evidence for recent warming of the Arctic soil thermal regime","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Geophysical Research Letters","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":77,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Permafrost; Active layer; Arctic; Climate change; Environmental science; Global warming; Geology; Structural basin; Physical geography; Climatology; Drainage basin; Hydrology (agriculture); Atmospheric sciences; Oceanography; Geomorphology; Layer (electronics); Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003217922,0.0002574894,0.0002000962,0.0002877259,0.0002574123,0.0005216094,0.0005143895,0.000547617,0.001524836],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009364777,0.0002220873,0.0003922468,0.0004742142,0.0002043917,0.0003816621,0.0002602098,0.0003084198,0.0001370509],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008667338,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006222563,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04572486,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04962629,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999226,0.00002502473,0.000004882324,0.00002174074,0.000009086706,0.00001665295],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996753,0.0001439218,0.00005793084,0.0000224514,0.00006339818,0.00003699987],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001764649,0.00008636515,0.1037804,0.00006047312,0.0001286777,0.000126095,0.00009083027,0.8868645,0.002338062,0.001224954,0.0006257733,0.004497585],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006349451,0.0000623112,0.04654182,0.00001291786,0.00006402888,0.00002935983,0.00006167941,0.9509448,0.0006349566,0.0005183798,0.001051783,0.00001449719],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9964123,0.00007809376,0.0007747177,0.0001442242,0.00001107613,0.000004300448,0.0004542146,0.00005507703,0.002065934],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989447,0.00006679882,0.0004514559,0.00001342863,0.000005452609,0.00000537193,0.0003079379,0.000006161333,0.0001986483],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04572486,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09091747,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1983900428080271,"score_gpt":0.3538983711126656,"score_spread":0.1555083283046385,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}