{"id":"W1913814500","doi":"10.1111/j.1365-2966.2008.00453.x","title":"Viewpoint: Estimating the equity premium","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d économique","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":200,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Predictability; Equity premium puzzle; Valuation (finance); Equity (law); Stock (firearms); Financial economics; Valuation effects; Econometrics; Capital asset pricing model; Finance; Mathematics; Geography; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005032371,0.000874789,0.0007594943,0.001626953,0.0002781691,0.003072809,0.001123348,0.001669725,0.00499127],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03288794,0.0003767253,0.0003983456,0.0009804486,0.0007941017,0.001902229,0.001014784,0.001711607,0.001984605],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008976404,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001187195,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009121361,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003048668,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986026,0.0005696035,0.00005050415,0.0003835412,0.0003367453,0.00005700151],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9942759,0.003589556,0.000509818,0.0004427108,0.0009132919,0.0002688049],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002252912,0.0001453271,0.08998068,0.0004493219,0.0006235796,0.0002783379,0.0002275965,0.06418665,0.004065271,0.2978623,0.05967114,0.4822846],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008918212,0.0001809623,0.04937061,0.0005160891,0.0002849161,0.0007312057,0.0002809872,0.3505171,0.004692008,0.5586003,0.034629,0.0001076294],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.07741342,0.01713481,0.8319165,0.03505332,0.002082099,0.00009251112,0.002113166,0.0007169618,0.03347719],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8977227,0.005923517,0.08069454,0.001943464,0.002976894,0.00004186343,0.001267739,0.00009761576,0.009331624],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.009121361,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02661407,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2184084798696992,"score_gpt":0.1984638682860149,"score_spread":0.01994461158368427,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}