{"id":"W1917288790","doi":"10.29173/cmplct8797","title":"The Collapse of Complex Societies","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Complicity An International Journal of Complexity and Education","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economic history; Political science; Political economy; Sociology; History","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002023649,0.0001158324,0.000341439,0.0002636304,0.0005866648,0.0002866143,0.001423969,0.0000430954,0.0001516572],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001114005,0.00007621566,0.0001773515,0.0002655568,0.0006704665,0.0005818314,0.0001749133,0.0001627289,0.000009589078],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005771402,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003444505,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006903622,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004257157,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964015,0.0002930787,0.001283093,0.0001788356,0.001712094,0.0001313512],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9933375,0.001337066,0.001303241,0.000343725,0.003543258,0.0001351958],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008356122,0.001140098,0.06574016,0.00001543494,0.0002223363,0.000008195077,0.007257092,0.0003451244,0.004085292,0.6124121,0.236607,0.0713315],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004489163,0.0001944501,0.4949731,0.00004257413,0.000008348959,0.0007528536,0.003966506,0.002481354,0.0001852048,0.3951574,0.1016592,0.0001301145],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9846877,0.0006967126,0.007870927,0.001580575,0.001694885,0.0001008999,0.00001727595,0.00000712863,0.003343835],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948152,0.0001074819,0.003358877,0.0003063381,0.0004581675,0.000001698034,0.000002849414,0.000005524933,0.0009439073],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4292329,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.451221,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3457847081561649,"score_gpt":0.4545019363243258,"score_spread":0.1087172281681609,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}