{"id":"W1919452412","doi":"10.1103/physrevlett.109.020402","title":"Experimental Bound on the Maximum Predictive Power of Physical Theories","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Physical Review Letters","topic":"Quantum Mechanics and Applications","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Perimeter Institute; University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Probabilistic logic; Theory of relativity; Predictive power; Function (biology); Physics; Affect (linguistics); Statistical physics; Computer science; General relativity; Quantum; Theoretical physics; Quantum mechanics; Psychology; Artificial intelligence","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001144869,0.0001549104,0.000256213,0.000009288031,0.00009493262,0.00001305387,0.0001915129,0.000004055391,0.0001535357],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000005970374,0.00009372048,0.0002402461,0.0001186049,0.0001142739,0.0000897698,0.00005536574,0.000146582,0.0001344586],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001375438,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00000865097,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000005934416,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":8.473462e-9,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992034,0.00006682239,0.0001394548,0.0001501641,0.0002097297,0.0002303672],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992825,0.000189719,0.0001077744,0.0003327585,0.00001957103,0.00006761033],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000005458375,0.0007260612,0.00006325302,0.00002299769,0.000049952,3.735504e-8,0.0005800197,0.000001692516,0.02867911,0.967478,0.002016384,0.0003770475],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000947862,0.001009685,0.002115462,0.002006041,0.0005890949,0.000001296109,0.002217844,0.002267,0.353965,0.5693747,0.06409842,0.001407559],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9906511,0.0006950433,0.001802529,0.003131483,0.00007622111,0.0004890105,0.00004835272,0.00001593824,0.003090327],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9968177,0.00001172346,0.00000756281,0.00245883,0.000456025,0.0002185421,0.000009901379,0.00001573628,0.000003990148],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3981032,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.382181,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01375806129231383,"score_gpt":0.2938614718614077,"score_spread":0.2801034105690939,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}