{"id":"W1939432943","doi":"10.1111/sjos.12037","title":"Methods to Distinguish Between Polynomial and Exponential Tails","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Scandinavian Journal of Statistics","topic":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Mathematics; Exponential function; Statistics; Polynomial; Residual; Applied mathematics; Mathematical analysis; Algorithm","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001661654,0.0001342032,0.0005395156,0.0002277908,0.0001268167,0.0000973358,0.0001785105,0.00007058018,0.0000507686],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00156414,0.0001473883,0.00006683126,0.0001313614,0.00006260897,0.0001149953,0.00005506395,0.000218142,0.00001999192],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005924772,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002108225,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000964924,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000007794246,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985216,0.00005368893,0.0009114988,0.0001958963,0.00005884944,0.0002584283],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987046,0.0002401239,0.0005516345,0.0001398972,0.0001023413,0.0002613919],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001601891,0.00006324198,0.6035233,0.00008691772,0.0001035045,0.00001666393,0.002381219,0.0001024154,0.0001353823,0.09743982,0.007076969,0.2889103],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002316602,0.001496597,0.6389117,0.0002192853,0.0001050389,0.00004856299,0.0001799338,0.008824928,0.0003067391,0.2556119,0.0911293,0.0008494805],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1974775,0.0002778562,0.8004869,0.000155789,0.0005880557,0.00006141968,0.0003081447,0.000005256055,0.0006390617],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7081254,0.00003055343,0.2910917,0.00004798028,0.0006100333,7.658277e-7,0.000004313951,0.00001505526,0.0000742191],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5106479,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.601032,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03789309825312263,"score_gpt":0.2973152771152367,"score_spread":0.2594221788621141,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}