{"id":"W1942389511","doi":"","title":"Not Here? Housing Market Policy and the Risk of a Housing Bust","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Bust; Underwriting; Boom; Deindustrialization; Default; Economics; Foreclosure; Business; Monetary economics; Finance; Economy; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01061415,0.0005362993,0.001686269,0.001370492,0.0004220085,0.0004913239,0.001121709,0.0009480483,0.0001808397],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00312481,0.0005561266,0.0004422561,0.0002790304,0.001668175,0.0002049037,0.002043641,0.003504985,0.00002000558],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008260884,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005364207,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004071105,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002355485,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9951305,0.0003448522,0.001933498,0.001360126,0.00009663509,0.001134385],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9946046,0.001803185,0.001463663,0.001800801,0.00009576194,0.0002320021],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002937033,0.0005553917,0.3177717,0.001439693,0.00126636,0.00003834962,0.004247355,0.01648465,0.00004619737,0.07531442,0.0002743448,0.5796245],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01506842,0.0002663197,0.1026477,0.001122745,0.0001525605,0.00006231107,0.002858387,0.4498649,0.0002741908,0.2971963,0.1258977,0.004588494],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7044825,0.0003728491,0.00002270949,0.0008436551,0.0006878606,0.0007915571,0.0003296339,0.00003541568,0.2924338],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9434081,0.05334424,0.00133918,0.0001413853,0.0007044644,0.0000968039,0.00001792039,0.0001593002,0.0007886447],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.575036,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999689,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03457305331024239,"score_gpt":0.2778100029099649,"score_spread":0.2432369495997225,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}