{"id":"W1942865326","doi":"10.1111/j.1475-4932.2011.00763.x","title":"What do the RBA’s Forecasts Imply about its Preferences over Inflation and Output Volatility?*","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Record","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Volatility (finance); Output gap; Inflation (cosmology); Econometrics; Inflation targeting; Monetary policy; Inflation rate; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007574237,0.0002738138,0.0004779523,0.0001760797,0.0001899066,0.0003783664,0.0003504708,0.00016086,0.003413078],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004626823,0.0002538838,0.0001413747,0.00004723002,0.0001039542,0.002176531,0.0001123747,0.000199324,0.001667731],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001383169,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002466546,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002229601,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006889687,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979796,0.00003158085,0.0009305943,0.0005946464,0.00001762019,0.0004459127],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986295,0.0001052727,0.0005866941,0.000523199,0.000008043054,0.0001473649],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001561754,0.00005146,0.8258466,0.00004760262,0.0002621839,0.000001427492,0.008030992,0.0001244863,0.000002179206,0.03534947,0.006381352,0.1237461],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006989385,0.0001609816,0.7779009,0.00003360581,0.00001631383,0.00001161555,0.0003096031,0.04263475,0.00004401561,0.09212697,0.08551952,0.0005427523],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9650746,0.00299257,0.0000619777,0.0003117235,0.001937556,0.0003834478,0.0001173427,0.00003574778,0.02908505],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9939632,0.002781721,0.0001612765,0.0003914383,0.0003505022,0.0000413483,0.00001417183,0.00003033049,0.002266059],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1232034,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1276959718752843,"score_gpt":0.2404642007116892,"score_spread":0.1127682288364049,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}