{"id":"W1964507513","doi":"10.1504/ijfip.2013.058611","title":"Plausibility indications in future scenarios","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","topic":"Risk Perception and Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":60,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Joint Research Centre; European Commission; Arizona State University","keywords":"Credibility; Consistency (knowledge bases); Quality (philosophy); Set (abstract data type); Computer science; Function (biology); Risk analysis (engineering); Management science; Artificial intelligence; Epistemology; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01752944,0.001014594,0.0006086851,0.007304123,0.002622159,0.008156322,0.001569478,0.00409197,0.0104474],"category_scores_gemma":[0.09383374,0.0007398986,0.001593552,0.003752413,0.009169977,0.01771624,0.005041832,0.003990549,0.0005180558],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004033121,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001862419,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001666853,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001990339,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9879127,0.006824203,0.001172357,0.001122765,0.00256821,0.0003997495],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9335189,0.05010808,0.006141657,0.0034174,0.005794173,0.001019813],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001030043,0.00003613833,0.0033831,0.0002288025,0.00003759854,0.0003672776,0.003547874,0.01461581,0.0005018012,0.9598927,0.0009924537,0.01629337],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002359153,0.00006452287,0.00256637,0.0003866509,0.00004065496,0.0002866924,0.002397884,0.01644182,0.0007925656,0.9588994,0.01803919,0.00006078092],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1401251,0.001871715,0.7021474,0.01286867,0.0002696147,0.0007071965,0.001618314,0.0004500066,0.139942],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8652251,0.000448837,0.130955,0.0003067822,0.00006615625,0.0003103504,0.0005446886,0.00006906719,0.002074042],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01752944,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09270567,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02188533562127991,"score_gpt":0.3585072711141767,"score_spread":0.3366219354928968,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}