{"id":"W1966767357","doi":"10.1136/bmj.g7390","title":"Utility of Hippocrates' prognostic aphorism to predict death in the modern era: prospective cohort study","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BMJ","topic":"Death Anxiety and Social Exclusion","field":"Psychology","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Island Health; University of Manitoba; Health Sciences Centre","funders":"Health Canada","keywords":"Hazard ratio; Medicine; Gerontology; Proportional hazards model; Confidence interval; Cohort study; Cognition; Prospective cohort study; Appetite; Demography; Cohort; Cognitive decline; Internal medicine; Psychiatry; Disease","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001825566,0.0001220754,0.0002545954,0.00004713763,0.00009357479,0.00001299553,0.0002625139,0.00009873408,0.0001050112],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004101557,0.00008872957,0.00005973065,0.000256622,0.00004269995,0.00003566137,0.00007067882,0.0002263483,0.00006890894],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001948027,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003783423,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008359483,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003401971,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982336,0.0005538091,0.0003171024,0.0003367276,0.0003128819,0.0002458642],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991154,0.0002116933,0.0000824893,0.0004488366,0.00008473499,0.00005686361],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001515967,0.0009214961,0.9645796,0.000006672663,0.00004100963,0.000008239877,0.02582557,0.000004757726,0.000005609481,0.00137526,0.002930173,0.004149992],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005991168,0.0005169195,0.9884052,0.0000116422,0.00003541915,0.000002632326,0.001500822,0.000365485,0.000005891635,0.00812298,0.0003433962,0.00009044251],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9156103,0.00002967791,0.0005015624,0.0004383286,0.0002869001,0.003813602,0.000009246884,0.00003173872,0.07927865],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983493,0.000001124858,0.00005851432,0.0002266618,0.0001731203,0.0005772464,0.000004316657,0.00001129912,0.000598409],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.08273901,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3618287,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02161617101339192,"score_gpt":0.3315138149769081,"score_spread":0.3098976439635162,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}